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创新药崛起!院内用药占比持续增长,中国医药行业结构性拐点已至
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-11-26 12:35
Group 1: Market Overview - In the US and five European countries, innovative drugs account for 70%-80% of the local market, while in China, the market share of innovative drugs is only 8.6% [1][10] - The Chinese innovative drug market is experiencing a "structural turning point," which is expected to reverse the downward trend in the pharmaceutical industry [1] - The domestic pharmaceutical terminal sales are projected to show negative growth starting in 2024, with over 30% of regulated pharmaceutical companies reporting losses in the first half of this year [1][3] Group 2: Industry Challenges - The pharmaceutical industry is facing a survival crisis due to external growth factors diminishing, and the capital market's enthusiasm for business development (BD) transactions cooling down [3] - The low concentration in several sub-sectors, particularly in the generic drug industry, has led to price competition, which is a key constraint on the development of the Chinese pharmaceutical industry [3][4] - The average price level of generic drugs has been further reduced due to policies on price governance and drug price comparison [4] Group 3: Innovative Drug Growth - Despite the overall revenue decline in the pharmaceutical industry, innovative drug companies have maintained good growth and profitability, with some achieving record high revenues [1][7] - The market size of innovative drugs (including biosimilars) reached 120 billion yuan in 2023, with a growth rate of 27% [7] - The revenue growth rate for biological products was 2.2%, with profit growth at 10.6%, indicating a strong performance in the innovative drug sector [8][7] Group 4: Regulatory and Policy Developments - The National Healthcare Security Administration has announced reforms to improve the immediate settlement of medical insurance funds, which is expected to alleviate the financial pressure on hospitals and improve drug payment timelines [5][6] - The implementation of policies to expand the scope of drug procurement and price control is expected to further impact the market dynamics [4][10] Group 5: Future Opportunities - The commercial potential of innovative drugs is anticipated to become the core driver of industry growth during the downturn [7] - The increasing number of innovative drug approvals and the shift in hospital medication structure are expected to enhance the market share of innovative products [7] - The industry is encouraged to build international innovation platforms to capture a larger share of the global market [2][18]