Core Insights - The UN Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD) projects a 14% increase in global Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) by 2025, reaching $1.6 trillion, primarily driven by a technical rebound rather than a comprehensive recovery in real investment [1] - The report highlights a significant disparity in FDI distribution, with developed economies experiencing a 43% increase to $728 billion, while developing economies saw a 2% decrease to $877 billion, and low-income economies faced a 5% decline [1] Group 1 - The increase in FDI is largely attributed to over $140 billion in inflows from financial hubs like the UK, Luxembourg, Switzerland, and Ireland, indicating that much of this FDI is not linked to actual physical investments [1] - The report indicates a structural weakening in corporate investment intentions, with a 16% decline in international project financing for infrastructure and a 10% drop in cross-border mergers and acquisitions [2] - There is a notable shift in global capital from efficiency to security logic, leading to a preference for cautious and short-term investments rather than long-term commitments [2] Group 2 - The report identifies a growing concentration of FDI in data centers and semiconductors, with data centers accounting for approximately 20% of global greenfield investment and semiconductor projects exceeding 35% [2] - Traditional manufacturing and renewable energy sectors are experiencing a significant downturn, with greenfield investment projects in these areas declining by 25% [2] - The outlook for 2026 suggests a potential mild recovery in FDI, but with significant downside risks due to geopolitical conflicts and increasing policy uncertainties [3]

肯《旗帜报》1月12日报道，肯尼亚作为东非地区投资目的地的竞争力正被其 他经济体蚕食。联合国贸易和发展会议（UNCTAD）最新发布的报告评估了流 入东部和南部非洲共同市场（COMESA）地区的外国投资。报告数据显示， 2024年肯外国直接投资（FDI）流入量基本保持不变，为15亿美元，然而其他 指标均有所下降，跨境并购活动下降了51%，已公布的绿地项目价值下降了 80%，项目数量也从2023年的85个降至2024年的69个。报告指出在观察期间， 埃及的FDI因Ras El-Hekma城市发展项目增幅最大；埃塞俄比亚FDI流入量增长 22%，达33亿美元；刚果（金）FDI流入量增长21%，达31亿美元；乌干达FDI 流入量增长了10%，达33亿美元。 （原标题：肯吸引外国投资竞争力下滑） ...