Core Viewpoint - The Chinese AI industry does not exhibit a U.S.-style bubble and is expected to seize global market share through three main avenues: model export, application explosion, and computing power substitution [1][2] Group 1: Model Layer - Chinese AI models are characterized by high cost-performance advantages, making them competitive in international markets [1] - The average intelligence per dollar spent on Chinese models surpasses that of U.S. models, which tend to be more expensive despite their absolute intelligence superiority [1] - This cost-performance advantage is anticipated to drive the export of Chinese large models in the form of API services to cost-sensitive emerging markets by 2026 [1] Group 2: Application Layer - The advancement in model technology is expected to create richer application scenarios, with a focus on rapid user transaction completion as a key competitive factor [1] - The explosion of applications will further accelerate commercialization in the Chinese AI sector [1] Group 3: Market Outlook - The year 2026 is projected to be pivotal for converting China's cost-performance advantage into global market share, with keywords such as no bubble, high iteration, and rapid monetization becoming central themes [2]

Core Insights - The transition of generative AI from experimental to essential for enterprise survival highlights the challenges faced in deploying AI applications, including high computational costs and response delays [2][3][4] Group 1: AI Deployment Challenges - 37% of enterprises deploying generative AI report that over 60% experience unexpected response delays in real-time applications, with significant computational costs leading to losses upon deployment [2][4] - The demand for computational power is growing exponentially, with enterprise AI systems requiring an annual growth rate of 200%, far exceeding hardware technology iteration speeds [3] - The complexity of AI applications has evolved from simple Q&A to intricate tasks, resulting in a paradox where non-scalability leads to no value, while scalability incurs losses [2][3] Group 2: Market Growth and Projections - The global AI server market is projected to reach $125.1 billion in 2024, increasing to $158.7 billion in 2025, and potentially exceeding $222.7 billion by 2028, with generative AI servers' market share rising from 29.6% in 2025 to 37.7% in 2028 [3] - The financial sector's AI applications require millisecond-level data analysis, while manufacturing and retail sectors demand real-time processing capabilities, further driving the need for advanced computational resources [3] Group 3: Cost and Efficiency Issues - The cost of token consumption is rising sharply, with ByteDance's model usage increasing over tenfold in a year, and Google's platforms processing 43.3 trillion tokens daily by 2025 [6] - High operational costs are evident, with AI programming token consumption increasing by approximately 50 times compared to the previous year, while the cost of computational power is decreasing at a rate of tenfold annually [6][7] - The average utilization of computational resources is low, with some enterprises reporting GPU utilization rates as low as 7%, leading to high operational costs [9] Group 4: Structural and Architectural Challenges - The mismatch between computational architecture and the demands of AI applications leads to inefficiencies, with over 80% of token costs stemming from computational expenses [8][9] - Traditional architectures are not optimized for real-time inference tasks, resulting in significant resource wastage and high costs [9][10] - Network communication delays and costs are significant barriers to scaling AI capabilities, with communication overhead potentially accounting for over 30% of total inference time [11] Group 5: Future Directions and Innovations - The future of AI computational cost optimization is expected to focus on specialization, extreme efficiency, and collaboration, with tailored solutions for different industries and applications [16] - Innovations in system architecture and software optimization are crucial for enhancing computational efficiency and reducing costs, with a shift towards distributed collaborative models [13][14] - The industry is moving towards a model where AI becomes a fundamental resource, akin to utilities, necessitating a significant reduction in token costs to ensure sustainability and competitiveness [14][16]