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研报掘金丨中邮证券:首予中天科技“买入”评级,特高压业务有望充分受益
Ge Long Hui A P P· 2026-02-25 05:28
中邮证券研报指出,AI数据中心与无人机需求快速放量,光纤光缆快速涨价,大幅贡献利润弹性。中 天科技研发的高密度、大芯数特种光缆将受益,市场份额有望持续上升。据CRU近日发布的最新数 据,CRU中国市场光纤光缆指数(FOCI)为106.5,环比反弹10.8%,从上三个月的收缩转为扩张。其 中,价格指数创近三年新高。布局反谐振空芯光纤,打通全链条核心制备技术,攻克多项工程部署关键 难题。海洋业务在手订单饱满,海缆业务全球化布局;国家电网资本开支增长40%,公司系国家电网核 心供应商,特高压业务有望充分受益。预计公司2025/2026/2027年分别实现收入543.38/636.02/728.59亿 元,分别实现归母净利润33.52/43.64/50.54亿元,首次覆盖,给予"买入"评级。 ...
中天科技(600522):AI驱动光通信需求,空芯光纤实现商业化突破
China Post Securities· 2026-02-25 01:05
证券研究报告:通信 | 公司点评报告 股票投资评级 买入 |首次覆盖 个股表现 2025-02 2025-05 2025-07 2025-09 2025-12 2026-02 -24% -14% -4% 6% 16% 26% 36% 46% 56% 66% 76% 中天科技 通信 资料来源:聚源,中邮证券研究所 公司基本情况 | 最新收盘价(元) | 24.42 | | --- | --- | | 总股本/流通股本(亿股)34.13 | / 34.13 | | 总市值/流通市值(亿元)833 | / 833 | | 52 周内最高/最低价 | 25.21 / 12.74 | | 资产负债率(%) | 38.5% | | 市盈率 | 29.25 | | 第一大股东 | 中天科技集团有限公司 | 研究所 分析师:吴文吉 SAC 登记编号:S1340523050004 Email:wuwenji@cnpsec.com 中天科技(600522) AI 驱动光通信需求,空芯光纤实现商业化突破 l 投资要点 AI 数据中心与无人机需求快速放量,光纤光缆快速涨价,大幅 贡献利润弹性。2025 年三大运营商及互联网公司全力推 ...
中天科技:AI驱动光通信需求,空芯光纤实现商业化突破-20260225
China Post Securities· 2026-02-25 00:40
Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [1]. Core Insights - The demand for optical fibers is expected to surge due to the rapid growth of AI data centers and drone applications, leading to significant profit elasticity for the company. The three major telecom operators and internet companies are pushing for the construction of computing networks, which will drive the demand for high-density, large-core optical cables and new multimode fibers [4][5]. - The company has successfully commercialized the application of anti-resonant hollow-core fibers in data centers, achieving a 30% reduction in transmission latency compared to traditional fibers [5]. - The company has a robust order backlog in its marine business, with approximately 31.8 billion yuan in hand orders, including significant projects in the energy interconnection sector [6]. - The company is positioned to benefit from a 40% increase in capital expenditure by the State Grid, as it is a core supplier for the State Grid and Southern Grid [7]. Financial Projections - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 54.34 billion yuan, 63.60 billion yuan, and 72.86 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively. The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to be 3.35 billion yuan, 4.36 billion yuan, and 5.05 billion yuan for the same years [9][11]. - The company's earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to be 0.98 yuan, 1.28 yuan, and 1.48 yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [11]. - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is expected to decrease from 29.37 in 2024 to 16.49 by 2027, indicating improving valuation metrics [11]. Market Performance - The stock price has shown a significant upward trend, with a projected increase of 77% year-on-year in optical cable demand driven by AI applications by 2025, significantly outpacing non-AI applications [4]. - The company's market share in high-density, large-core specialty optical cables is expected to continue rising due to the increasing demand [4]. Company Overview - The latest closing price of the company's stock is 24.42 yuan, with a total market capitalization of 83.3 billion yuan [3]. - The company has a debt-to-asset ratio of 38.5%, indicating a relatively stable financial structure [3]. - The largest shareholder is Zhongtian Technology Group Co., Ltd. [3].