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商贸零售行业跟踪周报:大行科工港股上市,关注“骑行热”新消费趋势-20250914
Soochow Securities· 2025-09-14 08:20
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the retail industry [1] Core Insights - The report highlights the listing of Dahon Technology on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, emphasizing the rising trend of cycling as a new consumption pattern [5][10] - Dahon Technology is the largest folding bicycle company in mainland China, with a market share of 36.5% in 2024 [5][10] - The company's revenue and net profit are experiencing high growth, with revenues of 4.51 million and 1.85 million yuan for the first four months of 2024 and 2025, respectively, reflecting year-on-year increases of 50% and 47% [5][10] - The report notes a stable gross margin of 33% and a net profit margin of 12%, which are higher than competitors like Giant and Merida [5][13] - The folding bicycle market is witnessing a shift towards mid-to-high-end products, with the share of mid-range bicycles increasing from 51% in 2022 to 68% in early 2025 [5][18] - The global bicycle market is projected to grow at a CAGR of 11.8% from 2024 to 2029, following a recovery post-pandemic [24][25] - The folding bicycle market in mainland China is expected to grow from approximately 4 billion yuan in 2019 to about 17 billion yuan by 2024, with a CAGR of 31.6% [29] Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The report discusses the significant growth in the folding bicycle market, driven by urbanization and improved infrastructure, making it suitable for urban commuters [29] Company Performance - Dahon Technology's revenue and net profit growth are attributed to the expansion of domestic distribution channels and online direct sales [5][10] - The company maintains a competitive edge with higher profit margins compared to major players in the bicycle industry [5][13] Market Trends - The report identifies a trend towards premium consumption in the cycling sector, with increased consumer interest in mid-to-high-end bicycles [5][25] - The rise of cycling as a leisure activity is contributing to the growth of the folding bicycle market, with a notable increase in consumer spending [30]