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存储价格急升 分析师:电子产业下游承压才刚开始
Jing Ji Ri Bao· 2026-02-10 23:02
富达国际基金经理人白芳苹指出,当前市场估值多半预期供应吃紧,能在未来一到两季内缓解,但她认 为,产业紧俏态势可能延续至今年底。这意味着下游企业面临的利润压力或许只是刚开始,远未到结束 之时。 分析师指出,存储价格急升,已在全球股市掀起连锁冲击,且影响时间可能比市场预期更久,电子产业 下游企业面临的利润遭挤压的压力或许只是刚开始。 过去几个月来,从游戏主机、PC品牌到苹果供应链等多数消费电子企业,都因成本暴增导致获利承 压,股价纷纷受挫;反观三星、SK海力士等存储制造商股价则屡创新高。彭博资讯的统计显示出这种 分歧走势:全球消费电子制造商指数去年9月底以来跌约12%,同期存储晶片制造商指数却大涨逾 160%。 ...
兆易创新:存储、MCU涨价预期强,龙头企业受益-20250519
CSC SECURITIES (HK) LTD· 2025-05-19 08:25
Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company, indicating a potential upside in the stock price [5][8]. Core Views - The company has shown strong performance in the first quarter of 2025, with revenue and net profit both recording double-digit growth despite a backdrop of declining global storage product prices. This performance is attributed to the company's position as a leader in the domestic storage sector and its expected benefits from the recovery of the semiconductor demand [5][8]. - The report anticipates a recovery in the storage and MCU (Microcontroller Unit) industries starting from the second quarter of 2025, which is expected to accelerate the company's earnings growth [5][8]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company operates in the electronics industry, with a stock price of 122.29 RMB as of May 16, 2025. The market capitalization is approximately 81.17 billion RMB, and the major shareholder is Zhu Yiming, holding 6.89% of shares [3]. Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 1.91 billion RMB, a year-over-year increase of 17.3%, and a net profit of 230 million RMB, reflecting a 14.5% increase year-over-year. The performance is notable given the overall decline in global storage market prices [8]. - The report projects net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 to be 1.58 billion RMB, 2.11 billion RMB, and 2.71 billion RMB, respectively, with year-over-year growth rates of 43%, 34%, and 28% [7][8]. Market Outlook - The global storage market is expected to see price increases starting in Q2 2025, driven by AI demand and capacity control by storage manufacturers. The company is positioned to benefit from this trend as a leading supplier of Nor Flash and niche DRAM products [8]. - The MCU industry is also expected to recover, with the company being the largest supplier of 32-bit MCUs in China, which is projected to experience rapid growth starting in 2025 [8]. Valuation Metrics - The current stock price corresponds to a PE ratio of 30 times for 2027, indicating a favorable valuation for potential investors [5][8].
兆易创新(603986):存储、MCU涨价预期强,龙头企业受益
CSC SECURITIES (HK) LTD· 2025-05-19 07:43
Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company, indicating a potential upside in the stock price [5][8]. Core Views - The company has shown strong performance in the first quarter of 2025, with revenue and net profit both recording double-digit growth despite a backdrop of declining global storage product prices. This performance is attributed to the company's position as a leader in the domestic storage sector and its expected benefits from the recovery in the semiconductor demand [5][8]. - The report anticipates a continued recovery in the storage and MCU (Microcontroller Unit) industries starting from the second quarter of 2025, which is expected to accelerate the company's earnings growth [5][8]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company operates in the electronics industry, with a stock price of 122.29 RMB as of May 16, 2025. The stock has a 12-month high of 147.56 RMB and a low of 64.13 RMB. The total market capitalization is approximately 81.17 billion RMB [3]. Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 1.91 billion RMB, representing a year-over-year increase of 17.3% and a quarter-over-quarter increase of 11.9%. The net profit for the same period was 230 million RMB, with a year-over-year growth of 14.5% [8]. - The report projects net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 to be 1.58 billion RMB, 2.11 billion RMB, and 2.71 billion RMB, respectively, with year-over-year growth rates of 43%, 34%, and 28% [8]. Market Position and Outlook - The company is positioned as a leading player in the domestic storage market, benefiting from domestic import substitution and increasing semiconductor demand. The report highlights that the company is expected to maintain significant earnings elasticity as the industry recovers [5][8]. - The anticipated recovery in global storage prices due to AI demand and capacity control by manufacturers is expected to positively impact the company's performance [8]. Valuation Metrics - The current stock price corresponds to a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 30 times for 2027, with projected P/E ratios of 52 times for 2024 and 39 times for 2025 [8].