Core Viewpoint - The founder of Shiwa Asset, Liang Hong, publicly apologized for significant net value declines in his funds, attributing the losses to three investment misjudgments related to innovative pharmaceuticals, hardware leaders, and US stablecoin concept stocks, reflecting decisions driven by "greed" and "grand narratives" [1][4] Investment Performance Summary - Shiwa Asset's weekly report indicated that most funds experienced an estimated net value drop of around 7%, with a cumulative decline of approximately 20% from peak values [2][3] - The three main investment errors accounted for about 18% of the total decline, contributing to the overall 20% drop [3] Detailed Investment Errors - The first error involved an innovative pharmaceutical stock that initially contributed over 8 percentage points to net value growth but plummeted after a failed business development announcement, leading to a loss exceeding 4% due to delayed profit-taking [2][3] - The second error was related to a hardware leader stock, which constituted 30% of the portfolio and fell 37% due to rising storage chip prices and negative public sentiment, negatively impacting net value by over 9% [3] - The third error focused on US stablecoin concept stocks, which were heavily invested based on optimistic cryptocurrency market expectations. After a significant price drop of 60%, this investment caused a net value loss of 4-5 percentage points [3] Reflection on Investment Decisions - Liang Hong identified the root causes of the investment mistakes as "greed" and decisions driven by "grand narratives," emphasizing a pattern of over-excitement at high valuations while neglecting risk and cost-effectiveness [4] - An expert noted that Liang's case highlights common pitfalls in the private equity industry, such as over-reliance on single narratives and the failure of risk control mechanisms under emotional pressure [4] Strategic Adjustments - In response to the losses, Liang indicated a shift in investment philosophy, suggesting a need to balance long-term holding with absolute return considerations to reduce future drawdowns [5] - Shiwa Asset plans to maintain its focus on high-quality companies while increasing sensitivity to valuations and market style changes, enhancing quantitative research to mitigate subjective judgment uncertainties [5] Future Investment Direction - Looking ahead, Shiwa Asset intends to maintain a technology-focused investment strategy while also exploring opportunities in sectors like chemicals and consumer goods that may benefit from macroeconomic recovery [6]