Core Viewpoint - The domestic gasoline and diesel prices are expected to rise due to a significant increase in international oil prices, with the upcoming price adjustment window on January 6, 2026, being closely monitored [1][2]. Group 1: International Oil Prices - On December 29, international oil prices saw a notable increase, with WTI crude oil priced at $58.08 per barrel, up by 2.36%, and Brent crude at $61.94 per barrel, up by 2.14% [1]. - The average price of WTI crude for the current pricing cycle is $57.98 per barrel, while Brent's average is $61.92 per barrel, reflecting a slight increase of $0.01 from the previous day [1]. Group 2: Domestic Price Adjustments - As of December 30, the domestic gasoline and diesel prices are projected to increase by 65 yuan per ton, translating to an increase of approximately 0.05-0.06 yuan per liter [2]. - The current price increase is just above the 45 yuan per ton threshold, indicating that if international oil prices decline in the next four days, the increase may narrow to the threshold range [2]. Group 3: Current Domestic Fuel Prices - The average prices for gasoline and diesel in China are as follows: 92-octane gasoline at 6.7 yuan per liter, 95-octane gasoline at 7.15 yuan per liter, and 0-octane diesel at 6.31 yuan per liter [3]. - Throughout 2025, domestic oil prices have generally trended downward, with an overall decrease exceeding 0.7 yuan per liter, benefiting consumers with lower fuel costs [3].

Core Viewpoint - The upcoming oil price adjustment on December 22, 2025, is set to result in a significant decrease, marking 2025 as the year with the largest price drop in recent years, with total reductions expected to exceed 200 yuan/ton for December alone [1] Group 1: Price Adjustments - The current forecast indicates that the total drop in oil prices for December will surpass 200 yuan/ton, with 95 octane gasoline expected to decrease by 0.2 yuan/liter [1] - The overall reduction in oil prices for 2025 is projected to exceed 0.7 yuan/liter, following 25 rounds of adjustments throughout the year [1] - As of December 18, the reference crude oil change rate was -3.86%, leading to an anticipated reduction of 165 yuan/ton for gasoline and diesel [2] Group 2: Current Oil Prices - The average prices for refined oil products are currently low, with 92 octane gasoline at 6.83 yuan/liter, 95 octane gasoline at 7.29 yuan/liter, and 0 diesel at 6.45 yuan/liter [1] - After the upcoming price adjustment, the average oil prices are expected to decline further, reaching new lows in recent years [1] Group 3: Consumer Impact - Following the price adjustments, consumers will experience reduced fuel costs, with a small private car's 50-liter tank of 92 octane gasoline costing approximately 6.5 yuan less to fill [2]