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商务预报:9月22日至28日生产资料价格总体平稳
Shang Wu Bu Wang Zhan· 2025-10-09 02:20
据商务部市场运行监测系统显示,9月22日至28日,全国生产资料市场价格与前一周(环比,下同)基 本持平。 基础化学原料价格小幅下降,其中硫酸、聚丙烯、甲醇分别下降3.8%、1.3%和0.5%,纯碱与前一周基 本持平。 成品油批发价格保持稳定,其中0号柴油、92号汽油、95号汽油均与前一周基本持平。 橡胶价格略有上涨,其中天然橡胶、合成橡胶均上涨0.1%。 煤炭价格稳中有涨,其中动力煤每吨759元,与前一周基本持平,炼焦煤、无烟块煤每吨1021元和1142 元,分别上涨2.1%和0.5%。 有色金属价格以涨为主,其中铜上涨1.7%,锌、铝分别下降0.6%和0.1%。 化肥价格略有下降,其中尿素下降0.6%,三元复合肥与前一周基本持平。 钢材价格基本持平,其中槽钢、热轧带钢每吨3639元和3574元分别下降0.5%和0.4%,高速线材、焊接 钢管每吨3567元和3793元,与前一周基本持平,螺纹钢每吨3391元,上涨0.2%。 ...
10月7日【油价大降】一夜升温,原油“4连降”大降超8%以后“又上涨”,新周期第7个工作日中,汽柴油预估上涨85元/吨!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-07 07:22
【油价最新消息】截至2025年10月7日,今天,由于双节假期缘故,2025年第20次调价,本轮计价周期仍停滞在前6个工作日!从数据显示,9月30日,参考9 月29日国际油价下降,最新原油统计均价66.91美元/桶,原油变化率2.62%,汽柴油预估上涨140元/吨,参考92/95号汽油以及0号柴油,统计汽柴油上涨预期 在0.13元/升左右! 2025年10月7日,星期二,农历八月十六,今天,国庆以及中秋假期进入尾声,按照汽柴油以10个工作日为周期,新周期第7个工作日进行中,此次油价调 整,市场呈现"过山车"的局面,前5个工作日显著上涨,第6个工作日后涨幅或逐步收窄,此次油价上涨或难兑现,汽柴油或将迎来今年第7次搁浅的局面! 具体分析如下: 【油价前情回顾】按照汽柴油调价机制,上一次,今年第19次调价,原油变化率负值开端,但是,周期内,汽柴油涨至40元/吨!好在,周期末,原油价格 恢复下降,9月23日24时,9月第二次调价,油价调整幅度不足50元/吨的标准线,国内汽柴油迎来今年第6次搁浅的局面,9月份,成品油呈现二连搁浅的走 势! 基于9月份汽柴油搁浅调价,截至目前,国内各地加油站,92/95号汽油以及0号柴油, ...
商务预报:9月15日至21日食用农产品和生产资料价格略有下降
Shang Wu Bu Wang Zhan· 2025-09-24 07:58
Agricultural Products Market - The national edible agricultural product market price decreased by 0.1% from the previous week [1] - The average wholesale price of 30 types of vegetables was 4.68 yuan per kilogram, down 1.5%, with cucumber, spinach, and rapeseed decreasing by 9.7%, 9.5%, and 7.4% respectively [1] - The wholesale price of meat showed slight fluctuations, with pork priced at 19.81 yuan per kilogram, down 0.8%, while beef remained stable and lamb increased by 0.5% [1] - The average wholesale price of six types of fruits slightly increased, with watermelon, pear, and apple rising by 3.0%, 1.1%, and 0.8% respectively [1] - Poultry product prices remained stable, with eggs increasing by 3.8% [1] Production Materials Market - The prices of basic chemical raw materials mainly decreased, with sulfuric acid and methanol dropping by 4.0% and 0.2% respectively [2] - Fertilizer prices showed a stable decline, with urea decreasing by 0.3% [2] - Non-ferrous metal prices slightly retreated, with zinc, aluminum, and copper decreasing by 0.6%, 0.1%, and 0.1% respectively [2] - The price of coal showed slight fluctuations, with thermal coal priced at 759 yuan per ton, increasing by 0.4% [2] - Steel prices slightly increased, with high-speed wire, rebar, and hot-rolled strip steel priced at 3567 yuan, 3385 yuan, and 3590 yuan per ton, respectively, all showing increases [2]
商务预报:9月15日至21日生产资料价格略有下降
Shang Wu Bu Wang Zhan· 2025-09-24 07:55
Price Trends in Various Markets - The national production material market prices decreased by 0.2% from September 15 to 21 compared to the previous week [1] - Basic chemical raw material prices mainly declined, with sulfuric acid and methanol decreasing by 4.0% and 0.2% respectively, while polypropylene remained stable and soda ash increased by 0.3% [1] - Fertilizer prices showed stability with a slight decrease, where urea fell by 0.3% and compound fertilizers remained unchanged [2] - Non-ferrous metal prices experienced a slight decline, with zinc, aluminum, and copper decreasing by 0.6%, 0.1%, and 0.1% respectively [3] - Rubber prices saw a minor decrease, with both synthetic and natural rubber dropping by 0.1% [4] Energy and Coal Prices - Wholesale prices for finished oil products remained stable, with 0 diesel, 92 gasoline, and 95 gasoline showing no significant change from the previous week [5] - Coal prices exhibited slight fluctuations, with thermal coal priced at 759 yuan per ton (up 0.4%), smokeless lump coal at 1136 yuan per ton (stable), and coking coal at 1000 yuan per ton (down 0.1%) [5] Steel Prices - Steel prices experienced a slight increase, with high-speed wire rod, rebar, and hot-rolled strip steel priced at 3567 yuan, 3385 yuan, and 3590 yuan per ton, reflecting increases of 0.6%, 0.6%, and 0.2% respectively [5]
9月23日【油价下跌】一夜崩落,原油“4连降”跌超2.9%,汽柴油上涨130元/吨后“降下来”,今晚24时调价,连续搁浅!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-23 06:54
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the upcoming adjustment of gasoline and diesel prices in China, highlighting the impact of international oil price fluctuations on domestic fuel prices, especially before the Mid-Autumn Festival and National Day holidays [1][5]. Price Adjustment Review - In 2025, there have been 18 price adjustments prior to the current one, with 7 decreases, 6 increases, and 4 instances of price stasis [3]. - For the first half of 2025, gasoline and diesel prices fell by 330 yuan and 315 yuan per ton, respectively, while in the second half, they decreased by 75 yuan per ton [3]. - Overall, the annual reduction for gasoline and diesel in 2025 is 405 yuan and 390 yuan per ton, translating to a decrease of approximately 0.32 to 0.35 yuan per liter at gas stations [3]. Price Adjustment News - The 19th price adjustment cycle began with a planned decrease of 90 yuan per ton, but due to fluctuations in the oil market, the expected increase in domestic fuel prices shifted from a decrease to an increase [5]. - As of September 22, 2025, the average price of crude oil was reported at 62.64 USD per barrel, with a significant drop of 2.9% in oil prices during the current cycle [5][7]. Current Adjustment Status - As of September 23, 2025, the final adjustment for this cycle resulted in no change in gasoline and diesel prices due to the increase not meeting the required threshold for a price hike [7]. - The next price adjustment is scheduled for October 13, 2025, with expectations of a potential decrease in fuel prices based on current market trends [7].
油价调整消息:油价大变局!9月23日或迎年内最大降幅,车主请暂缓加油!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-18 20:49
Group 1 - The article predicts a significant reduction in domestic fuel prices, with gasoline expected to decrease by 0.3 to 0.4 yuan per liter in the upcoming adjustment, marking the 19th round of price changes this year [1] - Despite the anticipated price drop, international crude oil prices have remained stable, with WTI at $62.69 per barrel and Brent crude slightly rising to $66.99, indicating a disconnect between domestic expectations and international market trends [2] - The fluctuations in oil prices are influenced by complex geopolitical dynamics and economic strategies, rather than mere market supply and demand [2][7] Group 2 - President Trump's potential imposition of up to 100% tariffs on imports from countries like India could disrupt global oil markets, as India and Russia are significant consumers of crude oil [3] - The aggressive tariff strategy may exacerbate global inflationary pressures, complicating monetary policy decisions for the Federal Reserve, which is expected to consider interest rate cuts to stimulate economic growth [5][6] - The long-term trends in oil prices are primarily driven by policy directions and geopolitical landscapes, rather than short-term market fluctuations [7] Group 3 - The upcoming price adjustment window on September 23 is anticipated to result in a downward trend in fuel prices, with expectations for a more substantial reduction than previously indicated [9] - The article emphasizes the interconnectedness of global events, such as U.S. monetary policy decisions and geopolitical conflicts, in influencing local fuel prices [9]
商务预报:9月8日至14日食用农产品价格总体平稳 生产资料价格略有下降
Shang Wu Bu Wang Zhan· 2025-09-17 07:59
Agricultural Products Market - The national market prices for edible agricultural products remained stable from September 8 to 14, with a slight decrease in production material prices by 0.2% compared to the previous week [1] - Average wholesale prices for six types of fruits saw a minor decline, with grapes, citrus, and apples decreasing by 3.1%, 2.1%, and 0.6% respectively [1] - The average wholesale price for 30 types of vegetables was 4.75 yuan per kilogram, down by 0.2%, with cucumber, broccoli, and cauliflower decreasing by 8.7%, 4.4%, and 4.4% respectively [1] - Wholesale prices for aquatic products showed a slight decline, with crucian carp, carp, and grass carp decreasing by 1.3%, 1.2%, and 0.5% respectively [1] - Meat wholesale prices experienced minor fluctuations, with pork priced at 19.97 yuan per kilogram, down by 0.6%, while lamb and beef increased by 0.3% and 0.2% respectively [1] - Grain and oil wholesale prices showed slight fluctuations, with rice and rapeseed oil decreasing by 0.2% and 0.1%, while soybean oil and peanut oil increased by 0.2% and 0.1% respectively [1] - Poultry product wholesale prices saw a slight increase, with eggs and broilers rising by 3.3% and 0.1% respectively [1] Production Materials Market - The prices of basic chemical raw materials predominantly decreased, with sulfuric acid, soda ash, and polypropylene declining by 1.6%, 0.6%, and 0.1% respectively, while methanol increased by 0.5% [2] - Coal prices showed a stable decline, with coking coal and thermal coal priced at 1001 yuan and 756 yuan per ton, decreasing by 1.2% and 0.5% respectively, while smokeless block coal remained unchanged at 1136 yuan per ton [2] - Fertilizer prices continued to decline, with urea and compound fertilizer decreasing by 0.5% and 0.3% respectively [2] - Finished oil wholesale prices experienced a slight decrease, with 92-octane gasoline, 0-octane diesel, and 95-octane gasoline dropping by 0.2%, 0.2%, and 0.1% respectively [2] - Rubber prices saw a slight retreat, with synthetic rubber and natural rubber decreasing by 0.3% and 0.1% respectively [2] - Steel prices remained stable, with high-speed wire, rebar, and welded steel pipes priced at 3547 yuan, 3366 yuan, and 3795 yuan per ton, all decreasing by 0.1%, while ordinary medium plates, hot-rolled strips, and channel steel increased by 0.1% [2] - Prices of non-ferrous metals showed a slight increase, with aluminum and zinc rising by 0.8% and 0.6%, while copper prices remained unchanged [2]
9月16日【油价下跌】周期过半,全国92/95号汽油价格“预跌40元/吨”,新周期涨幅“调减”中,下周二调价,油价或“难降”!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-16 06:44
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the upcoming adjustments in gasoline and diesel prices in China, highlighting the potential for price stagnation due to current market conditions and international oil price trends [1][3][5]. Price Adjustment Summary - In September 2025, two price adjustments for gasoline and diesel are planned, with the first adjustment on September 9 resulting in a price increase of 40 yuan per ton, which was insufficient to trigger a price change [1][3]. - The second adjustment is scheduled for September 23, with expectations that prices may not decrease due to strong international oil prices, leading to a potential "double stagnation" in September [1][5]. Market Trends Summary - In the first half of 2025, there were 12 price adjustments resulting in 5 decreases and 5 increases, with a total drop of 330 yuan per ton for gasoline and 315 yuan per ton for diesel, translating to a decrease of over 0.26 yuan per liter [3]. - The second half of 2025 has seen a trend of "initial increases followed by declines," with recent adjustments resulting in a total decrease of 75 yuan per ton, equating to approximately 0.07 yuan per liter [3]. Current Market Conditions - As of September 16, 2025, the average price of WTI crude oil was 63.3 USD per barrel, and Brent crude was 67.44 USD per barrel, with a current crude oil price change rate of -1.06% [3]. - The market sentiment remains bullish despite concerns over weak energy demand, influenced by geopolitical tensions and potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, which may support international oil prices [5].
商务预报:8月份生产资料市场价格环比略有上涨
Shang Wu Bu Wang Zhan· 2025-09-16 01:15
Group 1 - The national production material market prices increased by 0.3% month-on-month in August [1] - Coal prices rose by 1.6% month-on-month but decreased by 10.3% year-on-year, with coking coal, thermal coal, and No. 2 smokeless block coal increasing by 5.1%, 1.1%, and 0.5% respectively [2] - Steel prices increased by 1.2% month-on-month and decreased by 3.3% year-on-year, with channel steel, ordinary medium plates, and welded steel pipes rising by 2.5%, 2.1%, and 1.9% respectively [2] Group 2 - Non-ferrous metal prices decreased by 0.3% month-on-month and increased by 6.8% year-on-year, with copper and aluminum prices falling by 0.5% and 0.2%, while zinc prices rose by 0.1% [2] - Fertilizer prices fell by 0.8% month-on-month and decreased by 9.8% year-on-year, with urea prices dropping by 0.9% and compound fertilizer prices increasing by 0.2% [3] - Refined oil prices decreased by 1.3% month-on-month and fell by 7.2% year-on-year, with prices for 0 diesel, 95 gasoline, and 92 gasoline declining by 1.4%, 1.1%, and 1.0% respectively [3]
9月14日【油价调整】一夜大乱套,国内汽柴油“预跌55元/吨”,原油涨跌拉锯,下次9月23日调价,油价降价存悬念!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-14 06:56
Core Viewpoint - The domestic gasoline and diesel prices are expected to undergo a second adjustment in September, with the potential for prices to drop further before the upcoming Mid-Autumn and National Day holidays, despite recent fluctuations in international oil prices [1][3]. Price Adjustments - The last adjustment on August 27 resulted in a decrease of 0.14 to 0.16 yuan per liter for gasoline and diesel, with 92 gasoline prices dropping to 7.05 to 7.15 yuan per liter, nearing the "6 yuan era" [3]. - The next price adjustment is scheduled for September 23, with the current cycle showing a decrease of 55 yuan per ton for gasoline and diesel [5][7]. International Oil Market Dynamics - International oil prices have shown volatility, with WTI crude oil rising to 62.69 USD per barrel and Brent crude oil to 66.99 USD per barrel, indicating a mixed market sentiment [5]. - Factors influencing the oil market include geopolitical tensions, such as potential sanctions on Russian oil, and increasing U.S. EIA crude oil inventories, which have risen by 3.9 million barrels, raising concerns about oversupply [5][7]. Market Outlook - The oil market is expected to remain in a state of fluctuation, with predictions of a stable adjustment of 55 yuan per ton for gasoline and diesel prices in the upcoming week [7]. - The overall sentiment in the market is characterized by a lack of clear direction, with both bullish and bearish factors at play [7].