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环球市场动态:特朗普解职库克使降息预期增加
citic securities· 2025-08-27 02:43
Market Overview - A-shares showed mixed performance with the Shanghai Composite Index down 0.39% at 3,868 points, while the Shenzhen Component rose 0.26%[18] - U.S. stocks experienced slight gains, with the Dow Jones up 0.3% to 45,418 points and the S&P 500 rising 0.4% to 6,465 points[11] - European markets were weak, with the Stoxx 600 index down 0.83% and the French CAC 40 dropping 1.7% due to political uncertainties[11] Interest Rate Expectations - The market anticipates a more dovish stance from the Federal Reserve following Trump's dismissal of Fed Governor Cook, increasing expectations for rate cuts[6] - The implied probability of a rate cut in September has risen to nearly 90%[31] - The Fed is expected to cut rates three times in 2025, each by 25 basis points[6] Commodity and Currency Movements - The U.S. dollar weakened, with the Dollar Index down 0.2% to 98.23, while gold prices rose, reflecting market uncertainty[28] - International oil prices fell after four consecutive days of gains, with WTI crude down 2.39% to $63.25 per barrel[27] Fixed Income Market - U.S. Treasury yields saw a decline, with the 2-year yield down 4.5 basis points to 3.68% and the 10-year yield down 1.4 basis points to 4.26%[31] - The yield curve steepened as short-term bonds rallied amid strong demand in the 2-year auction[31] Corporate Highlights - Bilibili reported Q2 2025 revenue of 7.383 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 19.8%, exceeding Bloomberg consensus estimates[9] - Workday's Q2 2026 revenue reached $2.348 billion, up 14% year-on-year, also surpassing expectations[9]