Core Insights - Alibaba's "secret project" is the rebranded Qwen-based AI assistant, now named Qianwen, which aims to compete with ChatGPT and establish itself as a leading AI application in the consumer market [1][2] - Tencent is integrating AI into its core business, with plans to launch an AI agent within WeChat, leveraging its vast user base for competitive advantage [3] - Both companies are focusing on building their own AI ecosystems, with Alibaba's Qianwen and Tencent's Yuanbao connecting various services to enhance user engagement and retention [4] Alibaba's Strategy - The transition of Qianwen from a B2B focus to a consumer-oriented AI application is a significant shift, with plans to cover multiple life scenarios such as office work, navigation, health, and shopping [2] - Alibaba's fastest-growing consumer AI product is Quark, which will integrate with Qianwen to enhance its capabilities [2] - CEO Wu Yongming emphasizes that large models will become the next generation of operating systems, aiming to keep users within Alibaba's ecosystem [2] Tencent's Approach - Tencent's AI strategy is built on the "Hunyuan" large model, which integrates AI across its services, with a focus on WeChat as a primary entry point for users [3] - The company aims to create an AI agent that allows users to perform multiple tasks within WeChat, capitalizing on its existing user base [3] - Tencent's internal ecosystem includes WeChat, QQ, and Tencent Meeting, facilitating a wide range of social, office, and consumer interactions [4] Industry Landscape - The current market lacks a dominant AI application with over 100 million daily active users, indicating significant growth potential [3] - The competition is not only about user acquisition but also about controlling the end-to-end ecosystem, which is reshaping traditional entry points in the market [3][4] - The year 2025 is anticipated to be pivotal for AI applications, as companies leverage their technological advancements to meet user demands and create a secure ecosystem [4]

Core Viewpoint - 招银国际 has raised the target price for Tencent Holdings (00700) by 7.8%, from HKD 705 to HKD 760, while maintaining a "Buy" rating [1] Financial Performance - Tencent's total revenue for Q3 2025 increased by 15% year-on-year to RMB 192.9 billion, exceeding institutional expectations by 2% and 招银国际's expectations by 4% [1] - The strong growth in gaming revenue, which rose by 23% year-on-year, significantly contributed to the overall revenue increase [1] - Non-IFRS operating profit also grew by 18% year-on-year to RMB 72.6 billion, aligning closely with consensus expectations and 招银国际's forecasts [1] Capital Expenditure and AI Development - Due to supply chain constraints, Tencent has lowered its capital expenditure guidance for 2025 but remains committed to accelerating AI applications in advertising, gaming, e-commerce, and WeChat smart agents [1] - 招银国际 is optimistic about Tencent's long-term development opportunities in the AI sector, supported by diverse application scenarios and a large user base [1] Revenue Forecast Adjustments - Considering the better-than-expected growth in gaming revenue, 招银国际 has revised its total revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 upwards by 3%-5% [1] - The valuation window has been rolled forward to 2026 [1]

Core Viewpoint - 招银国际 has raised the target price for Tencent Holdings (00700) by 7.8%, from HKD 705 to HKD 760, while maintaining a "Buy" rating [1] Financial Performance - Tencent's total revenue for Q3 2025 increased by 15% year-on-year to RMB 192.9 billion, exceeding institutional expectations by 2% and 招银国际's expectations by 4% [1] - The strong growth in gaming revenue contributed to this performance, with a year-on-year increase of 23% [1] - Non-IFRS operating profit rose by 18% year-on-year to RMB 72.6 billion, aligning closely with consensus expectations and 招银国际's forecasts [1] Capital Expenditure and AI Development - Due to supply chain constraints, the company has lowered its capital expenditure guidance for 2025 but remains committed to accelerating AI applications in advertising, gaming, e-commerce, and WeChat smart agents [1] - 招银国际 is optimistic about Tencent's long-term development opportunities in the AI sector, supported by diverse application scenarios and a large user base [1] Revenue Forecast Adjustments - Based on better-than-expected growth in gaming revenue, 招银国际 has increased its total revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 by 3%-5% [1] - The valuation window has been rolled forward to 2026 [1]