导语 近期，招商产业债券基金发布公告，原基金经理马龙先生于2025年3月22日卸任该基金 的管理职务。自2024年8月份开始，马龙便陆续卸任所管理的产品，包括在去年相继卸 任招商安悦1年持有期债券基金、招商招祥纯债债券基金、招商添利两年定期开放债券 基金、招商添安1年定开债基金，今年又卸任了招商添福1年定开债基金、招商添裕纯债 债券基金、招商添瑞1年定期开放债券基金，招商产业债券基金，直至2025年4月1日， 他卸任了最后一只公募基金——招商安心收益债券基金，至此，马龙名下已无在管公募 产品。对于马龙卸任的原因，招商基金在公告中表示"另有任用"。 01 马龙曾于2009年至2012年期间任职泰达宏利基金，积累了深厚的宏观经济研究和债券市场策略 研究背景。2012年11月加入招商基金后，从研究员逐渐成长为基金经理，深耕信用债投资领 域。至今，已积累了15年的债券投研经验和10年的公募基金管理经验，现任公司首席固定收益 投资官。 招商产业债券基金是马龙管理时间最长且管理规模最大的组合之一。他自2015年4月1日开始管 理该基金。在其管理期间，基金在多数年份的收益均超越同类平均水平，并且在风险控制方面 表现卓越，波 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of having a "margin of safety" in investments, particularly in the context of fixed income, as articulated by Liu Wanfeng, the director of fixed income investment at China Merchants Fund [2][67][71]. Group 1: Investment Philosophy - Liu Wanfeng's investment philosophy is heavily influenced by Seth Klarman's book "Margin of Safety," which stresses the necessity of risk management and maintaining a margin of safety to survive extreme market conditions [2][67]. - The concept of long-term compounding is highlighted, indicating that short-term decisions can jeopardize long-term gains, thus discipline in trading is crucial [3][68]. - Liu emphasizes the need for patience and long-term commitment in fixed income products, prioritizing steady returns over short-term gains [7][68]. Group 2: Team Structure and Decision-Making - The fixed income team at China Merchants Fund operates under a collective decision-making mechanism, ensuring thorough discussions and research support for investment decisions [4][5][6]. - The team consists of nearly 40 professionals, including 22 fund managers with an average experience of over 11 years, organized into specialized groups to enhance collaborative efforts [6][41]. - This structured approach has allowed the team to navigate market volatility effectively, as demonstrated in 2016 and post-2020 adjustments in the real estate bond market [5][40]. Group 3: Performance Metrics - As of the end of 2024, Liu manages eight funds with a total scale of approximately 35 billion, with a notable performance record of achieving positive returns for the flagship fund over ten consecutive years [7][8]. - The flagship product, "Zhaoshang Shuangzhai LOF," has maintained a maximum drawdown of no more than 2% in each complete year from 2016 to 2024, showcasing its stability [7][8]. - Liu's strategy involves adjusting the portfolio based on macroeconomic cycles, ensuring that the right types of bonds are held at the appropriate times [7][8]. Group 4: Market Outlook and Strategy - Liu forecasts a challenging bond investment environment characterized by low yields and high volatility, necessitating a more refined approach to investment strategies [11][56]. - The current macroeconomic landscape is described as a new phase where policy and investor behavior significantly influence the bond market, with a focus on maintaining stability amid low yields [20][21][22]. - Liu suggests that in the current market, attention should be directed towards the balance of policies and investor behavior, as these will dictate bond market fluctuations [21][22]. Group 5: Risk Management and Future Considerations - Liu advocates for a cautious approach to investment, emphasizing the importance of risk control and the need to avoid overexposure to market speculation [9][11][49]. - The article discusses the potential for passive investment strategies to gain traction in the current market, as they offer lower costs and clearer risk profiles compared to active management [51][53]. - Liu expresses the belief that the bond market will require a rational perspective moving forward, particularly in light of recent market adjustments and the need for careful analysis of macroeconomic indicators [62][56].