Core Viewpoint - The signing of the GENIUS Act by President Trump is paving the way for the issuance and regulation of stablecoins in the U.S., which may disrupt traditional banking systems in the next 2 to 3 years [1][2]. Legislative Developments - The GENIUS Act establishes a preliminary framework for stablecoin issuance and regulation, while the CLARITY Act aims to clarify the jurisdiction of the SEC and CFTC over the crypto market [1]. - These legislative advancements signify a shift in focus from policy debates to the actual construction of infrastructure in the digital asset market [2]. Market Growth Projections - The stablecoin market is expected to see moderate growth of approximately $25 billion to $75 billion in the short term, which will likely increase demand for U.S. Treasury securities, particularly short-term bills [2]. Banking Sector Response - U.S. banks are preparing for the stablecoin era, with management expressing readiness to offer stablecoin solutions, although there are concerns regarding specific use cases, especially in domestic payment scenarios [3]. - Major banks like JPMorgan and Citigroup are exploring stablecoin capabilities, with JPMorgan launching its deposit token (JPMD) and Citigroup investing in digital asset services [6][7]. Cross-Border Payment Opportunities - Despite skepticism about domestic applications, bank executives see viable use cases for stablecoins in cross-border payments, with some banks viewing this as a "greenfield" market [4]. Short-Term Impact on Domestic Payments - Most banks anticipate minimal short-term impact on their core domestic payment businesses from stablecoins, although competition in cash management services may intensify [5]. Bank Comments on Stablecoins - JPMorgan is actively entering the stablecoin and digital asset space, while Bank of America acknowledges small cross-border payments as a realistic application [6]. - Citigroup is focusing on tokenized services, despite high transaction costs for converting between fiat and stablecoins [6][7]. Digital Asset Applications - Banks are exploring four main application scenarios for digital assets: reserve management and custody services for stablecoins, transaction services, issuing their own stablecoins, and tokenized deposits [7][8]. Future Outlook - Various banks, including PNC and M&T, are developing digital asset services and assessing the feasibility of stablecoins as payment mechanisms, indicating a growing interest in the sector [9].

一纸法案的签署，正在为美国数字资产市场开启新的篇章，并可能重塑传统银行业的未来格局。 据追风交易台消息，美银美林的一份最新研究报告显示，随着美国为稳定币发行铺平监管道路，这一数字资产将在未来2至3年内，对传统银行的存款基础 和支付体系构成清晰可见的颠覆性影响。 最新的进展是，美国总统特朗普已正式签署《GENIUS法案》，为稳定币的发行和监管设定了初步框架。与此同时，旨在划分美国证券交易委员会 （SEC）和商品期货交易委员会（CFTC）对加密市场管辖权的《CLARITY法案》也已在众议院获得通过，目前这两项法案均已移交参议院审议。 这一系列立法进展标志着监管的破冰，市场焦点正迅速从政策博弈转向基础设施的实际建设。据美银全球研究利率策略团队预测，短期内稳定币市场将迎 来约250亿至750亿美元的温和增长，这一增量资金预计将提振对美国国债的需求，尤其是短期国库券。 报告强调，真正的变革将在中期显现。随着稳定币的整合与普及，其对现有金融体系的冲击将愈发明显，届时银行将直面来自数字货币的竞争压力。而随 着美国稳定币监管框架初步落地，银行业正处于积极布局与谨慎观望的十字路口。 银行积极布局，但对用例仍存疑虑 美国银行业已 ...