摩通牛證(58695)

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騰訊多空角力升溫,衍生品佈局有講究
Ge Long Hui· 2025-07-24 10:56
Core Viewpoint - Tencent's stock performance shows positive momentum with a closing price of 526 HKD, reflecting a daily increase of 0.86% and a trading volume of 9.212 billion HKD, indicating active market participation [1] Technical Analysis - Multiple technical indicators suggest a "buy" signal with a strength of 14, indicating a favorable medium to long-term trend [1] - Various oscillators are in a "neutral" state, with the RSI at 63, suggesting a balanced short-term market sentiment [1] Support and Resistance Levels - The first support level for Tencent is at 510 HKD, with a second support at 494 HKD; the first resistance level is at 530 HKD, and the second at 558 HKD [3] - The stock is currently near its first resistance level, making the ability to break through this level crucial [3] - The system assesses a 54% probability of an upward movement, with a recent 5-day volatility of 2.9%, indicating potential trading opportunities [3] Product Performance - On July 17, 2025, Tencent's stock rose by 0.87% two days later, with related products like JPMorgan's bull certificate (58311) increasing by 11% and UBS's bull certificate (58237) by 7%, showcasing the leverage effect of these products [3] Notable Derivative Products - For bullish sentiment, Bank of China call options (16356) have a leverage of 14.3 times with a strike price of 600.5 HKD, while UBS call options (15943) have a leverage of 14.4 times, both offering good value [5] - For bearish sentiment, Bank of China put options (18276) have a leverage of 9.2 times with a strike price of 434.8 HKD, and UBS put options (17893) have a leverage of 9.7 times, suitable for risk-averse investors [6] Bull and Bear Certificates - For bullish outlooks, UBS bull certificates (58594) and JPMorgan bull certificates (58695) both have a leverage of 21 times with a redemption price of 507 HKD, presenting strong potential [7] - For bearish outlooks, UBS bear certificates (54414) have a leverage of 21.9 times with a redemption price of 550 HKD, and Societe Generale bear certificates (58795) have a leverage of 26.3 times with a redemption price of 546 HKD, indicating higher leverage but also increased risk [8]