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长城汽车(601633):系列点评二十二:2025Q1业绩短期承压,新车周期有望贡献增量
Minsheng Securities· 2025-04-27 11:25
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company, with a target price of 23.16 CNY per share, corresponding to a PE ratio of 14/12/11 for the years 2025-2027 [5][3]. Core Views - The company reported a total revenue of 40.02 billion CNY in Q1 2025, showing a year-on-year decline of 6.6% and a quarter-on-quarter decline of 33.2%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.75 billion CNY, down 45.7% year-on-year and 22.7% quarter-on-quarter [1][2]. - The decline in revenue is attributed to a product cycle fluctuation leading to decreased quarterly sales, while the increase in marketing expenses is linked to new vehicle launches and channel development [1]. - The company delivered a total of 257,000 vehicles in Q1 2025, representing a year-on-year decrease of 6.7% and a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 32.3%. Notably, new models such as the Haval Xiaolong Max and Tank 300 have shown strong pre-order performance [2]. - The overseas sales remained stable at 91,000 units in Q1 2025, with the company launching the Tank 300 in markets like Thailand and Australia, indicating a strong commitment to global expansion [3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Q1 2025 total revenue was 40.02 billion CNY, with a year-on-year decrease of 6.6% and a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 33.2%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.75 billion CNY, down 45.7% year-on-year [1]. - The company expects revenues for 2025-2027 to be 226.78 billion CNY, 261.70 billion CNY, and 296.25 billion CNY respectively, with net profits projected at 14.09 billion CNY, 16.30 billion CNY, and 18.24 billion CNY [4][9]. Sales and Market Strategy - The company delivered 257,000 vehicles in Q1 2025, with Haval sales at 145,000 units, WEY at 13,000 units, and Tank at 42,000 units. New models are expected to drive sales growth starting Q2 2025 [2]. - The company is actively promoting its new products both domestically and internationally, with a clear strategy for high-end intelligent vehicles and an increasing share of new energy models [3]. Future Outlook - The report anticipates a recovery in sales due to the successful launch of new models and a strategic focus on overseas markets, which is expected to enhance revenue growth in the coming quarters [3][4].
【新能源周报】新能源汽车行业信息周报(2025年4月14日-4月20日)
乘联分会· 2025-04-22 08:44
点 击 蓝 字 关 注 我 们 目 录 行业信息 10、商务部:开展"车路云一体化"应用试点 推动相关基础设施规模化建设、智能网 联汽车产业化发展 11、能识别交警手势 地平线发布对标特斯拉的 HSD 政策信息 1、广州: 进一步明确补贴方向、加大补贴力度,带动汽车、家电、数码类产品消费 2、2026年7月施行! 电动汽车电池新国标公布 3、辽宁省机关事务管理局印发《2025年辽宁省公共机构节约能源资源工作安排》的通 知 4、上海市浦东新区发展和改革委员会发布关于印发浦东新区 2025 年碳达峰碳中和及 节能重点工作安排的通知 5、成都市经信局发布《关于组织开展成都市 2023-2024 年度电动汽车充换电设施项目 建设补贴申报工作的通知》 6、广州市花都区政府印发《关于花都区支持新能源产业高质量发展的十条措施的通知》 7、广东省能源局关于做好全省充电基础设施高质量接入广东省电动汽车充电设施智能 服务平台的通知 8、云南昆明市市场监督管理局发布关于《电动汽车公共充换电站(桩)消防安全管理 规范》征求意见稿地方标准的公示 10、山西晋中市政府印发《晋中市碳达峰实施意见》 11、青海省发展和改革委员会印发《青海省 ...