新能源光储继电器

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宏发股份(600885):高压直流继电器景气驱动,公司业绩稳步增长
Guoxin Securities· 2025-08-04 05:25
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" (maintained) [2][7][8] Core Views - The company is a global leader in the relay industry, continuously increasing its global market share and achieving steady growth in performance. The report maintains the original profit forecast, expecting the company to achieve net profits of 1.939 billion, 2.121 billion, and 2.339 billion yuan for 2025-2027, representing year-on-year growth of 19%, 9%, and 10% respectively [3][7]. Financial Performance Summary - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 8.35 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 15.4%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 964 million yuan, up 14.2% year-on-year. The gross margin was 34.2%, down 0.5 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin remained flat at 15.3% [3][4]. - For Q2 2025, the company reported revenue of 4.36 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 26% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 9.5%. The net profit for Q2 was 550 million yuan, up 13% year-on-year and 35% quarter-on-quarter. The gross margin for Q2 was 34.6%, up 0.9 percentage points quarter-on-quarter, and the net margin was 16.8%, up 3.1 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [3][4]. Business Segment Performance - The high-voltage direct current relay segment is expected to contribute a revenue growth rate of 35%-40% year-on-year in 2025, driven by the high demand in the new energy vehicle industry. The company currently holds a global market share of over 40% in this segment [4][5]. - The traditional relay segment is also expected to grow steadily, with household appliance relays projected to see a year-on-year shipment increase of 5%-10% in 2025. The new energy storage relay segment is anticipated to maintain a year-on-year growth rate of 35%-40% due to strong domestic and overseas demand [5]. - The automotive relay segment is expected to grow by 15%-20% year-on-year in 2025, benefiting from the rapid growth of the new energy vehicle industry and an increase in market share [5]. New Product Development - The company is promoting the development of new product categories, including low-voltage electrical appliances, film capacitors, connectors, current sensors, and fuses. Some of these products have already begun to be applied in various downstream applications and have passed certification, indicating potential for sustained growth in the future [6].