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锦浪科技(300763):25Q2业绩环比显著改善,三大业务齐头并进
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [7][17]. Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of 3.79 billion yuan in H1 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 13.1%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 600 million yuan, up 71.0% year-on-year. In Q2 2025, revenue reached 2.28 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 16.3% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 50.0%. The net profit for Q2 was 410 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 22.7% and a quarter-on-quarter growth of 109.3% [5][13]. Business Performance - The company's photovoltaic and energy storage inverter business has seen a recovery in profitability, with significant growth in overseas markets expected to support performance [5][17]. - The grid-connected inverter business generated 1.82 billion yuan in revenue in H1 2025, a decrease of 11.2% year-on-year, but with a gross margin of 26.1%, up 7.6 percentage points year-on-year. The sales volume reached 466,000 units, indicating a significant improvement in profitability [14]. - The energy storage inverter business experienced rapid expansion, achieving 790 million yuan in revenue, a year-on-year increase of 313.5%, with a gross margin of 30.3%, up 2.7 percentage points year-on-year [15]. - The distributed photovoltaic business steadily developed, generating 810 million yuan in revenue, a year-on-year increase of 4.1%, with a gross margin of 58.0%, down 3.2 percentage points year-on-year [16]. Financial Forecasts - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 7.96 billion yuan, 9.32 billion yuan, and 10.82 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 21.7%, 17.1%, and 16.0%. The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 1.19 billion yuan, 1.49 billion yuan, and 1.92 billion yuan for the same years, with growth rates of 72.1%, 25.6%, and 28.5% [17][18].
宏发股份(600885):高压直流继电器景气驱动,公司业绩稳步增长
Guoxin Securities· 2025-08-04 05:25
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" (maintained) [2][7][8] Core Views - The company is a global leader in the relay industry, continuously increasing its global market share and achieving steady growth in performance. The report maintains the original profit forecast, expecting the company to achieve net profits of 1.939 billion, 2.121 billion, and 2.339 billion yuan for 2025-2027, representing year-on-year growth of 19%, 9%, and 10% respectively [3][7]. Financial Performance Summary - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 8.35 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 15.4%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 964 million yuan, up 14.2% year-on-year. The gross margin was 34.2%, down 0.5 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin remained flat at 15.3% [3][4]. - For Q2 2025, the company reported revenue of 4.36 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 26% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 9.5%. The net profit for Q2 was 550 million yuan, up 13% year-on-year and 35% quarter-on-quarter. The gross margin for Q2 was 34.6%, up 0.9 percentage points quarter-on-quarter, and the net margin was 16.8%, up 3.1 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [3][4]. Business Segment Performance - The high-voltage direct current relay segment is expected to contribute a revenue growth rate of 35%-40% year-on-year in 2025, driven by the high demand in the new energy vehicle industry. The company currently holds a global market share of over 40% in this segment [4][5]. - The traditional relay segment is also expected to grow steadily, with household appliance relays projected to see a year-on-year shipment increase of 5%-10% in 2025. The new energy storage relay segment is anticipated to maintain a year-on-year growth rate of 35%-40% due to strong domestic and overseas demand [5]. - The automotive relay segment is expected to grow by 15%-20% year-on-year in 2025, benefiting from the rapid growth of the new energy vehicle industry and an increase in market share [5]. New Product Development - The company is promoting the development of new product categories, including low-voltage electrical appliances, film capacitors, connectors, current sensors, and fuses. Some of these products have already begun to be applied in various downstream applications and have passed certification, indicating potential for sustained growth in the future [6].
光储行业研究专题:储能行业运行总结新兴市场发展可期
Guoxin Securities· 2025-07-31 07:46
Investment Rating - The report rates the energy storage industry as "Outperform the Market" [1][4][5] Core Insights - The energy storage industry is experiencing rapid growth, with significant demand in emerging markets expected to drive future opportunities [2][3][4] - The domestic market in China is seeing a surge in energy storage system and battery shipments, with 110 GWh of systems and 265 GWh of batteries shipped in the first half of 2025, marking year-on-year increases of 101% and 128% respectively [1][3][56][57] - The U.S. market is also showing growth due to the "Inflation Reduction Act," which is expected to boost energy storage demand in the short term [1][27][29] - Emerging markets, particularly in the Middle East, Southeast Asia, and Africa, are anticipated to become significant export destinations for Chinese energy storage companies due to power shortages and supportive government policies [2][4][54] Summary by Sections Domestic Market Performance - In the first half of 2025, China achieved energy storage tenders of 126.3 GWh and winning bids of 189.8 GWh, reflecting year-on-year increases of 101% and 182% respectively [1][44] - The domestic energy storage system shipment reached 110 GWh, nearing the total for 2024, with expectations of over 200 GWh for the full year [56] - The domestic energy storage battery shipments were 265 GWh, with projections of over 500 GWh for the year, indicating a growth rate of nearly 50% [57] International Market Trends - The U.S. energy storage market is projected to grow, with a 30% year-on-year increase in installed capacity in the first half of 2025 [1][27] - In Europe, energy storage demand is also rising, with Germany showing a 130% increase in front-of-the-meter storage installations in the first half of 2025 [1][36] - Emerging markets are expected to see explosive growth in energy storage installations, with projections of 37 GWh in 2025, a year-on-year increase of 256% [2][51] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on leading companies in the energy storage supply chain, including Yangguang Electric, Ningde Times, and Yiwei Lithium Energy, as they are well-positioned to benefit from the growing demand in both domestic and international markets [4][5][113]
光储行业研究专题:储能行业运行总结,新兴市场发展可期
Guoxin Securities· 2025-07-31 04:11
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the energy storage industry [5][4][6]. Core Insights - The energy storage industry is experiencing rapid growth, particularly in emerging markets, driven by power shortages and supportive government policies [2][4][54]. - The demand for energy storage systems is expected to remain strong in 2025, with significant increases in both domestic and international markets [1][3][56]. - The "Big and Beautiful" act in the U.S. is anticipated to boost short-term demand for energy storage, although a decline in demand may occur post-2026 [27][29]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - In the first half of 2025, domestic energy storage system shipments reached 110 GWh, nearly matching the total for 2024, with battery shipments at 265 GWh, a year-on-year increase of 128% [1][56]. - The U.S. saw a 30% year-on-year increase in installed front-of-the-meter storage, reaching 5.65 GW in the first half of 2025 [1][27]. Emerging Markets - Emerging markets are projected to become significant export destinations for domestic energy storage companies, with orders from the Middle East, Australia, and East Asia reaching 35 GWh, 33 GWh, and 24 GWh respectively [2][51]. - The report forecasts a substantial increase in energy storage demand in regions facing power shortages, such as Southeast Asia, South Africa, and India [54][55]. Global Market Outlook - The global energy storage market is expected to see new installed capacity of 221 GWh in 2025, with a projected market value of 1787 billion yuan [3][96]. - Emerging markets are anticipated to achieve a cumulative installed capacity of 40.5 GWh by 2025, reflecting a 293% year-on-year growth [3][96]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on leading companies in the energy storage supply chain, including Yangguang Electric, Ningde Times, and Yiwei Lithium Energy, due to their strong market positions and growth potential [4][113].
光伏电池组件逆变器出口月报(25年6月)-20250722
Great Wall Securities· 2025-07-22 10:08
Investment Rating - The report rates the industry as "Outperforming the Market" [1] Core Insights - The commercial and industrial energy storage sector is experiencing a boom, while the rhythm of photovoltaic shipments is adjusting. In June 2025, China's total export value of solar cells and modules was $2.2 billion, down 24.2% year-on-year and 8.6% month-on-month, with an estimated total export volume of 30.03 GW, up 9.3% year-on-year and down 8.4% month-on-month [2] - The inverter exports in June 2025 totaled $917 million, with a year-on-year and month-on-month change of -0.06% and +10.64%, respectively. The export scale reached 5.1289 million units, down 12.4% year-on-year and 13.06% month-on-month [2] - The European inverter channel status has returned to health, with strong demand for commercial energy storage. The overall export value remains stable above 2 billion yuan, with active demand in key Asian markets such as India, Saudi Arabia, UAE, and Southeast Asia [2] - The past year has seen a decline in the photovoltaic storage industry, with no clear bottom performance in financial reports. However, the production changes and price trends suggest that 2024-2025 may represent a bottoming period for industry profits [3] - The report suggests focusing on companies such as Canadian Solar, JA Solar, Junda Co., Sungrow Power, Foster, Deye, Jinlang Technology, Shenghong Co., Dike Co., and Flat Glass [3] Summary by Sections - In June 2025, the export volume of photovoltaic modules to Europe was 9.03 GW, down 6.95% month-on-month, while exports to non-European markets reached 221 GW, up 19.26% year-on-year [2] - The report highlights the performance of various provinces in inverter exports, with Zhejiang exporting 1.9836 million units, Jiangsu 426,500 units, Guangdong 1.6482 million units, and Anhui 59,400 units in June 2025 [2] - The report emphasizes that the supply-side issues in the photovoltaic industry have led to losses in old capacities and delays in new projects, with irrational competition and policy guidance accelerating capacity clearance [3]
光伏电池组件逆变器出口月报(25年5月)-20250625
Great Wall Securities· 2025-06-25 05:21
Investment Rating - The report rates the industry as "Outperforming the Market" [1] Core Insights - The solar storage industry in Asia remains vibrant, while the European market is returning to a reasonable state. In May 2025, China's total export value of solar cells and modules was $2.407 billion, down 14.8% year-on-year but up 7% month-on-month, with an estimated total export volume of 32.79 GW, up 22% year-on-year and 12.7% month-on-month [2][3] - The European market continues to recover, with demand and inventory replenishment both showing positive trends. In May, China's exports of solar modules to Europe reached 9.7 GW, marking a new high in recent months, up 7.38% month-on-month. The export volume to markets outside Europe was 23.09 GW, up 44.83% year-on-year and 15.16% month-on-month [2][3] - In terms of inverters, the total export value in May 2025 was $831 million, with a year-on-year and month-on-month increase of 6.52% and 2.63%, respectively. The export scale reached 5.8994 million units, up 26.18% year-on-year and 30.25% month-on-month [2][3] Summary by Sections Export Data - In May 2025, the Netherlands exported 3.57 GW of solar modules, down 36.94% year-on-year and down 0.56% month-on-month. Spain exported 0.74 GW, down 16.23% year-on-year and down 17.40% month-on-month. Germany's exports were 0.49 GW, up 24.95% year-on-year and 14.68% month-on-month [14] - Notable performances include Pakistan, which exported 2.45 GW, up 156.30% year-on-year, and Australia, with 0.64 GW, up 57.84% year-on-year [14] Market Dynamics - The report indicates that the solar storage industry has experienced a decline in market conditions over the past year, with no clear bottom in performance metrics. However, the period of 2024-2025 may represent a bottoming out for industry profits, with potential differentiation in financial performance among companies [3] - The demand for solar storage installations globally is driven by grid parity and energy transition, while supply-side issues have led to losses in older capacities and delays in new projects. The inverter segment is expected to recover first due to higher competitive barriers, indicating a more favorable market structure and larger market space for leading solar storage companies [3]
固德威(688390):2024年年报及2025年一季报点评:业绩承压,静待海外需求修复
EBSCN· 2025-04-29 09:44
Investment Rating - The report has downgraded the investment rating to "Accumulate" due to temporary pressure on the company's performance [3][6]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 6.738 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 8.36%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of -62 million yuan [1]. - The company's energy storage inverter and battery business saw significant revenue declines in 2024, with the inverter business down 70.53% and the battery business down 45.57% [2]. - The household system sales business grew rapidly, achieving a revenue of 3.06 billion yuan in 2024, up 84.96% year-on-year [3]. - The company is focusing on expanding its overseas market presence, particularly in Germany, Italy, and Australia, which is expected to gradually improve revenue from energy storage products as overseas demand recovers [2]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 6.738 billion yuan, with a net profit of -62 million yuan and a non-recurring net profit of -194 million yuan [1]. - For Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 1.882 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 67.13%, but a net profit of -28 million yuan [1]. Business Segments - The energy storage inverter business generated 462 million yuan in revenue in 2024, down 70.53% year-on-year, while the energy storage battery business generated 473 million yuan, down 45.57% [2]. - The photovoltaic inverter business revenue was 2.217 billion yuan in 2024, down 22.5%, with a gross margin of 19.78%, a decrease of 9.65 percentage points year-on-year [2]. - The household system sales business saw significant growth, with revenue reaching 3.06 billion yuan in 2024, and a gross margin of 14.11%, an increase of 1.17 percentage points [3]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The profit forecast for 2025-2027 has been revised downwards, with expected net profits of 199 million yuan, 375 million yuan, and 564 million yuan respectively, reflecting a 79% and 68% downward adjustment for 2025 and 2026 [3]. - The current stock price corresponds to a price-to-earnings ratio (PE) of 50 for 2025, 27 for 2026, and 18 for 2027 [3].
阳光电源:大单确收+抢出口,25Q1业绩超预期-20250428
HTSC· 2025-04-28 05:05
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5][8]. Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 77.857 billion RMB in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 7.76%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 11.036 billion RMB, up 16.92% year-on-year, slightly exceeding previous expectations due to strong profitability in the energy storage business [1][5]. - The company is a global leader in the solar and energy storage industry, with a significant increase in domestic and international orders since 2024, providing strong support for performance in 2025 [1][5]. - The company’s energy storage revenue reached 24.96 billion RMB in 2024, a 40.3% increase year-on-year, with a gross margin of 36.7%, driven by cost reductions in manufacturing and battery cells [3][5]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q4 2024, the company reported a revenue of 27.911 billion RMB, with a year-on-year increase of 8% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 47%. The net profit for the same period was 3.437 billion RMB, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 55% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 30% [2]. - For Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 19.036 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 51%, while the net profit reached 3.826 billion RMB, up 83% year-on-year [2]. Energy Storage Segment - The company’s energy storage shipments in 2024 reached 28 GWh, a significant increase of 167% year-on-year, with an estimated sales volume of 25 GWh, leading to a unit price of approximately 0.96 RMB per Wh, down 43% year-on-year due to battery cell price reductions [3]. - In Q1 2025, energy storage shipments surged to 12 GWh, a year-on-year increase of 470%, maintaining profitability levels similar to 2024, primarily due to confirmed revenue from the Saudi energy storage project and export activities to the U.S. [3]. Photovoltaic Inverter Segment - The company’s revenue from photovoltaic inverters in 2024 was 29.13 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 5.3%, with a gross margin of 30.9% [4]. - The sales volume of photovoltaic inverters reached 147 GW in 2024, a 13% increase year-on-year, with a unit price of approximately 0.20 RMB per W, down 7% year-on-year [4]. Valuation and Forecast - The report projects net profits for 2025-2027 to be 12.025 billion RMB, 13.557 billion RMB, and 15.209 billion RMB respectively, with a target price of 92.80 RMB based on a 16x PE ratio for 2025 [5][9].
电力设备及新能源行业:光伏电池组件逆变器出口月报(25年3月)
Great Wall Securities· 2025-04-22 06:55
Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Outperform the Market" [1] Core Insights - The inverter growth trend is stabilizing, and there are signs of recovery in battery components. In March 2025, China's total export value of solar battery modules was $2.463 billion, down 23.5% year-on-year but up 47.8% month-on-month, corresponding to an export volume of 31.80 GW, which is an increase of 8.7% year-on-year and 46.3% month-on-month. The export of solar battery components to Europe reached 8.1 GW, the highest in recent months, while exports to markets outside Europe amounted to 23.7 GW, up 23.84% year-on-year [2] - In March 2025, the total export value of inverters was $633 million, up 5.68% year-on-year, with an export scale of 3.7324 million units, an increase of 12.83% year-on-year. The recovery of downstream demand in Europe and the restoration of channel inventory have contributed to this growth [2] Summary by Sections Export Data - In March 2025, the export volume of solar modules to various countries included: Netherlands 3.05 GW (-37.27% YoY, +28.85% MoM), Spain 0.84 GW (+10.22% YoY, +116.00% MoM), Germany 0.33 GW (-24.41% YoY, +50.29% MoM), and others [14] Market Dynamics - The report indicates that the solar storage industry has experienced a decline in prosperity over the past year, but 2024 may represent a bottoming out for industry profits. The demand for grid parity and energy transition remains a fundamental driver for solar storage installations globally [4]