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智库要览丨解码“老龄群体”需求新趋势
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-19 08:06
Group 1: Global Aging Population and Economic Impact - The United Nations projects that by the end of the 2070s, the global population aged 65 and older will reach 2.2 billion, driving the "silver economy" to focus on the needs of the elderly through innovative services and products [1][33] - The "silver economy" is expected to stimulate various industries to actively cater to the demands of older adults, enhancing the vitality of the elderly care market [1][33] Group 2: High-Net-Worth Elderly Population in China - Goldman Sachs reports that the high-net-worth elderly group (aged 50 and above with net assets over 3 million yuan) is becoming a core driver of the healthcare market, with approximately 15 million individuals expected in 2024, contributing 221 billion yuan to medical expenditures [2][3][29] - This group, representing only 3% of the population aged 50 and above, is projected to increase to 29 million by 2035, with medical spending soaring to 963 billion yuan, reflecting a compound annual growth rate of 14.3% [3][4][29] Group 3: Evolving Elderly Housing Needs - The "China Silver Housing Development Report" indicates that the demand for elderly housing is shifting from basic care to a "silver living ecosystem" that integrates health management and smart interaction [5][31] - The elderly population is segmented into three age groups, each with distinct needs: younger seniors (55-64) seek quality living improvements, middle seniors (65-79) require aging-friendly modifications, and older seniors (80+) need personalized smart monitoring solutions [5][31] Group 4: Market Size and Growth Projections - The "2025 China Silver Economy Development Research Report" forecasts that the silver economy market in China will reach 25 trillion yuan by 2030, with the market size in 2024 estimated at 8.3 trillion yuan, accounting for 6% of the national GDP [7][32] - The report highlights the potential for cross-industry integration, with new business models emerging from the combination of healthcare, real estate, and technology sectors [7][32] Group 5: Trends in Elderly Care Services - In the first half of 2024, revenues from elderly care services, including disability care and home services, grew significantly, with increases of 40.9% and 14.1% respectively, outpacing the average growth of the service industry [12][34] - The demand for community and institutional elderly care services also saw substantial growth, with increases of 30.4% and 22.6% respectively [13][34] Group 6: Digital Transformation in Elderly Care - The adoption of digital technologies in the silver economy is on the rise, with a 16.9% increase in IT service purchases by elderly care enterprises and significant growth in smart elderly care technology sales [16][34] - The trend indicates a shift towards more sophisticated and personalized care solutions for the elderly population [16][34] Group 7: Cross-Border Elderly Care in the Greater Bay Area - The Greater Bay Area is witnessing a trend towards cross-border elderly care, with collaboration among Guangdong, Hong Kong, and Macau to create a connected elderly care ecosystem [24][38] - Challenges remain, including regulatory issues and the need for better integration of services across regions [25][39]
经济政策一线微观察|从生存需求到品质追求——看养老到“享老”如何加速释放银发市场新活力
Xin Hua Wang· 2025-08-17 12:13
Group 1 - The elderly population aged 60 and above in China is projected to reach 310 million by the end of 2024, accounting for 22% of the total population [1] - The concept of "elderly care" has evolved from mere survival needs to a pursuit of quality living, driven by policy incentives, upgraded demands, and technological innovations [1][3] - The new generation of elderly consumers is redefining the silver economy, which is a trillion-yuan market, shifting from "making do" to "paying attention" [3] Group 2 - The latest data from the National Taxation Administration indicates that the silver economy is experiencing significant growth, with notable highlights such as the continuous enrichment of elderly services and the rapid iteration of silver products [4] - Revenue from smart elderly care technology services and sales of elderly smart and wearable devices has increased by 33.7% and 32.6% year-on-year, respectively [4] - The synergy between policy and market dynamics is transforming the concept of elderly care from "basic support" to "enhanced quality of life," reflecting the vitality of the silver economy [7]