Core Viewpoint - Xiaomi Group's stock has been underperforming due to a 3% quarter-over-quarter decline in overseas smartphone shipments and disappointing electronic consumer goods retail data, leading to a significant drop in stock price over the past two days [1]. Technical Analysis - The overall technical indicators for Xiaomi signal a "sell" with a strength of 13, indicating a bearish medium to long-term trend [1]. - Multiple moving averages are showing a "strong sell" signal, while several oscillators are in a neutral state, suggesting a potential for short-term oversold rebound [1]. - The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 43, indicating it is within a normal range [1]. - The system's assessed probability of an upward movement is 57%, with a recent 5-day price fluctuation of 7.7%, reflecting moderate volatility but clear short-term downward pressure [1]. Support and Resistance Levels - The first support level is at 53.7 HKD; if this level is breached, the next target is 52.1 HKD [3]. - The initial resistance level is at 57.6 HKD, and a breakthrough here would allow for a challenge of 60.5 HKD [3]. - The current stock price is positioned between the support and resistance levels, leaning towards the lower end, making the maintenance of the 53.7 HKD support critical for a potential short-term rebound [3]. Product Performance - Previously recommended leveraged products, such as the Societe Generale bear certificates (54560) and HSBC bear certificates (59572), showed significant gains of 48% and 54% respectively within two days [3]. - Other put options from JPMorgan and UBS also outperformed, with increases of 18% and 16%, significantly exceeding the underlying stock's decline of 3.66% [3]. Investment Products - For investors anticipating a short-term rebound, UBS call options (15800) offer a leverage of 8.1 times with a strike price of 63.05 HKD, while Bank of China call options (13385) provide a leverage of 8.4 times, presenting a better cost-performance ratio [6]. - For bearish investors, HSBC put options (14333) and Morgan Stanley put options (14322) offer a leverage of 3.5 times with a strike price of 46.45 HKD, suitable for those expecting significant downside [6]. Market Sentiment - Despite the bearish technical outlook for Xiaomi, the probability of an upward movement remains above 50%, indicating market divergence [12]. - The ability to hold the 53.7 HKD support level is crucial; a breakdown with increased volume could trigger further selling pressure, while support at this level could lead to a short-term rebound opportunity [12].