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纸浆数据日报-20260326
Guo Mao Qi Huo· 2026-03-26 03:04
Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant information provided Group 2: Core View of the Report - The weak fundamental situation of pulp futures continues, with limited room for short - term rally due to position reduction. It is expected to fluctuate weakly in the short term [6] Group 3: Summary by Related Catalogs Pulp Price Data - **Futures Prices**: On March 25, 2026, SP2701 was 5550 yuan/ton, up 0.36% day - on - day and 2.93% week - on - week; SP2609 was 5318 yuan/ton, up 0.26% day - on - day and 3.02% week - on - week; SP2605 was 5224 yuan/ton, up 0.27% day - on - day and 3.65% week - on - week [5] - **Spot Prices**: Coniferous pulp Silver Star was 5200 yuan/ton, down 0.95% day - on - day but up 2.97% week - on - week; Coniferous pulp Russian Needle was 5050 yuan/ton, down 0.98% day - on - day and up 3.06% week - on - week; Broadleaf pulp Goldfish was 4600 yuan/ton, with no day - on - day change and up 1.10% week - on - week [5] - **Foreign Quotes**: Chilean Silver Star was 710 dollars/ton, Chilean Star was 600 dollars/ton, and Chilean Venus was 620 dollars/ton, all with no change compared to the previous period [5] - **Import Costs**: The import cost of Chilean Silver Star was 5802 yuan/ton, Chilean Star was 4911 yuan/ton, and Chilean Venus was 5073 yuan/ton, all with no change compared to the previous period [5] Pulp Fundamental Data - **Import Volume**: In February 2026, the import volume of coniferous pulp was 58.02 tons, down 30.86% month - on - month; the import volume of broadleaf pulp was 147.13 tons, down 2.94% month - on - month [5] - **Shipment Volume to China**: In January 2026, the shipment volume of pulp to China was 170 thousand tons, down 19.80% month - on - month [5] - **Domestic Production**: On March 19, 2026, the domestic production of broadleaf pulp was 26.3 tons, and that of chemimechanical pulp was 24.5 tons [5] - **Inventory**: As of March 19, 2026, the pulp port inventory was 229.7 tons, down 7.6 tons from the previous period and 3.2% month - on - month; the futures delivery warehouse inventory was 18.2 tons [5] - **Finished Paper Production**: On March 19, 2026, the production of offset paper was 20.60 tons, coated paper was 7.60 tons, tissue paper was 31.00 tons, and white cardboard was 37.50 tons [5] Supply - Demand Analysis - **Supply - side**: In March, Chilean Arauco adjusted its pulp quotes. Coniferous pulp was offered at 880 dollars/ton, broadleaf pulp Star at 620 dollars/ton (supplying 5% of the quantity), and unbleached pulp Venus at 620 dollars/ton [5] - **Demand - side**: The demand for pulp has been stable recently, the price of finished paper is stable, and the production has increased this week. However, the price increase notices issued by paper mills are unlikely to be implemented [5]
纸浆数据日报-20260203
Guo Mao Qi Huo· 2026-02-03 03:07
Group 1: Report Investment Rating - No information provided Group 2: Core View - The recent supply side of pulp has seen disruptions again, but the demand side shows a decline. The overall commodity market has been highly volatile recently. It is recommended to observe cautiously [6] Group 3: Summary by Relevant Catalogs Pulp Price Data - **Futures Prices**: On February 2, 2026, SP2601 was 5440 yuan/ton, down 1.13% day-on-day and 2.33% week-on-week; SP2609 was 5306 yuan/ton, down 0.82% day-on-day and 2.21% week-on-week; SP2605 was 5266 yuan/ton, down 0.64% day-on-day and 2.01% week-on-week [5] - **Spot Prices**: On February 2, 2026, the price of coniferous pulp Silver Star was 5320 yuan/ton, down 1.12% day-on-day and 1.48% week-on-week; the price of coniferous pulp Russian Needle was 5150 yuan/ton, down 0.96% day-on-day and 1.90% week-on-week; the price of broadleaf pulp Goldfish was 4600 yuan/ton, unchanged day-on-day and down 1.08% week-on-week [5] - **Outer - disk Quotes**: The outer - disk quote of Chilean Silver Star was 710 dollars/ton, up 1.43% month - on - month; the quote of Chilean Star was 590 dollars/ton, up 3.51% month - on - month; the quote of Chilean Venus was 620 dollars/ton, unchanged month - on - month [5] - **Import Costs**: The import cost of Chilean Silver Star was 5802 yuan/ton, up 1.42% month - on - month; the import cost of Chilean Star was 4830 yuan/ton, up 3.47% month - on - month; the import cost of Chilean Venus was 5073 yuan/ton, unchanged month - on - month [5] Pulp Fundamental Data - **Import Volume**: In December 2025, the import volume of coniferous pulp was 77.8 tons, up 7.31% month - on - month compared to November; the import volume of broadleaf pulp was 135.2 tons, down 23.40% month - on - month [5] - **Domestic Production**: The production of broadleaf pulp and chemimechanical pulp fluctuated slightly from December 2025 to January 2026 [5] - **Pulp Port Inventory**: As of January 29, 2026, the inventory of Chinese pulp mainstream port samples was 216.9 tons, up 4.9% compared to the previous period, showing a continuous inventory accumulation trend for four weeks [5] - **Futures Delivery Warehouse Inventory**: The inventory of the futures delivery warehouse also fluctuated from December 2025 to January 2026 [5] - **Finished Paper Production**: The production of double - offset paper, coated paper, tissue paper, and white cardboard decreased to varying degrees [5] Supply, Demand and Inventory Analysis - **Supply Side**: In January, Chilean Arauco's coniferous pulp offer was 710 dollars/ton, up 10 dollars/ton; the offer of broadleaf pulp Star was 590 dollars/ton, up 20 dollars/ton; the offer of natural pulp Venus was 620 dollars/ton, unchanged [5] - **Demand Side**: The demand side of pulp has been stable recently. The price of tissue paper has increased slightly, and the prices of other paper products have been stable. The production of major wood - pulp paper has decreased [5] - **Inventory Side**: As of January 29, 2026, the inventory in Chinese pulp mainstream ports continued to accumulate [5]