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进击的库迪,能成为咖啡界的“蜜雪冰城”吗?
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-08-05 01:54
Core Insights - The "takeout war" involving major platforms like Ele.me, Meituan, and JD has ended, leading to significant growth in daily active users and transaction volumes for these platforms, while coffee brands like Luckin and Kudi have also benefited from this competition [1][2][3] - Luckin Coffee reported a net increase of 2,109 stores in Q2, with total revenue reaching 12.36 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 47.1%, marking the highest growth rate in the past four quarters [1][2] - Kudi Coffee has adopted aggressive pricing strategies, with prices as low as 2.68 yuan, aiming to expand rapidly and reach a target of 50,000 stores by the end of 2025, which would surpass the combined total of Luckin and Starbucks [1][2][3] Company Strategies - Kudi Coffee is expanding into convenience stores and fast food, attempting to create a "coffee+" model, but faces challenges with supply chain issues and customer complaints about product quality [2][4] - Kudi's pricing strategy has significantly lowered the market price for coffee, forcing competitors like Luckin to adjust their pricing as well [4][5] - Kudi's operational model relies on a franchise system, transferring the financial burden of low pricing to franchisees, which has led to dissatisfaction among them [7][8] Expansion and Market Position - Kudi has rapidly expanded its store count, reaching over 15,000 locations by June, utilizing a "store-in-store" model to reduce costs and facilitate quick growth [10][15][16] - The company has faced criticism for the quality of its products and the inconsistency in customer experience due to the rapid expansion and lack of standardized equipment across locations [22][23] - Kudi's aggressive expansion strategy has raised concerns about its long-term sustainability, as it struggles to establish a strong brand identity and core competencies compared to competitors like Luckin and Starbucks [25][26] Financial Performance and Challenges - Kudi's cost structure indicates that selling coffee at low prices results in losses, which are absorbed by franchisees rather than the company itself [6][7] - The company has attempted to diversify its offerings by introducing food items, but this has led to a dilution of its brand identity and raised questions about its operational focus [24][25] - Despite achieving a significant number of stores, Kudi's financial health remains in question, with ongoing concerns about cash flow and profitability compared to its competitors [25][26]