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中国广核(003816):电价下降拖累短期业绩 拟注入惠州核电夯实未来基础
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-09-23 08:32
Core Viewpoint - The company reported a decline in revenue and net profit for the first half of 2025, primarily due to falling electricity prices and increased tax expenses, despite a slight increase in nuclear power generation revenue [1][2][3]. Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 39.167 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 0.53% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 5.952 billion yuan, down 16.30% year-on-year [1] - The basic earnings per share were 0.12 yuan, reflecting a 16.31% decline compared to the previous year [1] - The return on equity (ROE) was 4.88%, a decrease of 1.19 percentage points year-on-year [1] Business Segments - Nuclear power generation revenue in H1 2025 was 30.658 billion yuan, a slight increase of 0.93% year-on-year, supported by a 6.93% increase in electricity generation [2] - The construction and design services segment generated revenue of 7.612 billion yuan, down 4.83% year-on-year [2] - The average market electricity price decreased by approximately 8.23% compared to the same period in 2024, significantly impacting profitability [2][3] Profitability Challenges - The gross margin for the core electricity sales business fell by 5.44 percentage points to 43.29% due to declining electricity prices [3] - Income tax expenses increased by 17.91% to 2.490 billion yuan, influenced by the expiration of tax incentives for certain nuclear power units [3] - The combination of these factors led to a temporary decline in the company's profitability [3] Project Development - The company has a robust pipeline of nuclear projects, with 28 operational units and 20 under construction, providing a solid foundation for long-term growth [3] - Recent approvals for new projects, including the Taishan Phase II and Fangchenggang Phase III, enhance the company's project portfolio [3] Strategic Acquisitions - The company plans to acquire an 82% stake in Huizhou Nuclear Power for 9.375 billion yuan, which includes several in-progress projects expected to contribute to future revenue [4] - This acquisition is expected to clarify the company's long-term growth trajectory by expanding its project base [4] Industry Outlook - The nuclear power industry is expected to grow, driven by high utilization hours and favorable pricing trends, despite short-term pressures from electricity price declines [5] - The company forecasts revenues of 86.639 billion yuan, 90.498 billion yuan, and 96.507 billion yuan for 2025-2027, with corresponding net profits of 9.978 billion yuan, 10.431 billion yuan, and 11.429 billion yuan [5]
中国核电(601985):所得税费用大增拖累盈利在手,核电项目保障稳定成长
Hua Yuan Zheng Quan· 2025-05-01 14:40
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [5] Core Views - The significant increase in income tax expenses has negatively impacted profitability, but the existing nuclear power projects ensure stable growth [5] - The company reported a revenue of 77.27 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 3.09%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 17.38% to 8.78 billion yuan [7] - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 0.16 yuan per share for 2024, with a payout ratio of 41.9%, an increase of approximately 7 percentage points year-on-year [7] Financial Performance Summary - Revenue Forecasts: - 2023: 74.96 billion yuan - 2024: 77.27 billion yuan - 2025E: 84.54 billion yuan - 2026E: 88.54 billion yuan - 2027E: 99.29 billion yuan - Year-on-Year Growth Rates: - 2023: 5.15% - 2024: 3.09% - 2025E: 9.41% - 2026E: 4.73% - 2027E: 12.13% [6] - Net Profit Forecasts: - 2023: 10.62 billion yuan - 2024: 8.78 billion yuan - 2025E: 9.99 billion yuan - 2026E: 10.50 billion yuan - 2027E: 11.28 billion yuan - Year-on-Year Growth Rates: - 2023: 17.91% - 2024: -17.38% - 2025E: 13.89% - 2026E: 5.05% - 2027E: 7.41% [6] Operational Highlights - In 2024, the company achieved a nuclear power generation volume of 183.12 billion kWh, a decrease of 1.8% year-on-year, primarily due to increased maintenance at the Fuqing Nuclear Power Plant [7] - The company completed a renewable energy generation volume of 33.23 billion kWh in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 42.21% [7] - The marketization ratio of nuclear power reached 50.78%, an increase of 8.1 percentage points year-on-year, while the renewable energy marketization ratio reached 66.43%, an increase of 7.31 percentage points year-on-year [7] Future Outlook - The company has received approval for 10 new nuclear power units, bringing the total number of units under construction or approved to 19, which is expected to support stable long-term growth [7] - The forecasted net profit for 2025-2027 is expected to be 10.00 billion yuan, 10.50 billion yuan, and 11.28 billion yuan respectively, with growth rates of 13.9%, 5.1%, and 7.4% [7]