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中国建筑国际(03311):投资业务重启,内地、港澳业务景气可期
Changjiang Securities· 2025-04-30 08:42
Investment Rating - The investment rating for China State Construction International (3311.HK) is "Buy" and is maintained [9]. Core Views - The company's revenue for Q1 2025 was approximately RMB 22.887 billion, representing a year-on-year growth of about 3.62%. The operating profit and share of profits from joint ventures totaled approximately RMB 3.963 billion, an increase of 10.84% year-on-year [7][11]. - The resumption of investment activities has positively impacted revenue, with an increase in EPC business undertakings. However, new contract signings saw a decline of 29% year-on-year, primarily due to a high base effect from a significant project in the previous year [11]. - The introduction of Dongfang International as a strategic shareholder is expected to enhance business collaboration, particularly in project cooperation and capital operations [11]. - The outlook for mainland China and Hong Kong businesses is promising, with significant government spending projected in infrastructure, which could lead to a dividend yield of approximately 5.8% based on a 33% payout ratio [11]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the total revenue was approximately RMB 22.887 billion, a 3.62% increase from the previous year. The operating profit and share of profits from joint ventures were about RMB 3.963 billion, reflecting a 10.84% year-on-year growth [7][11]. New Contracts - New contract signings for Q1 2025 amounted to RMB 50.51 billion, down 29% year-on-year. The breakdown shows that technology-driven new contracts accounted for RMB 21.3 billion, a 56% decline, while investment-driven new contracts increased by 5% to RMB 11.4 billion [11]. Strategic Developments - The strategic partnership with Dongfang International, which involved a premium subscription of 244.6 million new shares at HKD 12.26 each, is expected to foster collaboration in various areas, including project management and capital operations [11]. Market Outlook - The company is focusing on expanding its MiC (Modular Integrated Construction) business in major cities like Beijing, Guangzhou, and Shanghai. The Hong Kong government has increased its projected average annual infrastructure spending from HKD 90 billion to HKD 120 billion, which is expected to benefit the company significantly [11].