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 中金:维持越秀交通基建跑赢行业评级 上调目标价至4.34港元
 Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-08-21 03:31
 Core Viewpoint - CICC has raised the net profit forecast for Yuexiu Transportation Infrastructure (01052) for 2025 and 2026 by 3.4% and 4.3% to 739 million and 770 million yuan respectively, due to continuous reduction in financial expenses [1]   Financial Performance - The company reported 1H25 revenue of 2.1 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 14.9%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 360 million yuan, also up 14.9%, exceeding CICC's expectations [2] - The increase in revenue was primarily driven by higher toll income and a significant decrease in financial expenses [2]   Toll Revenue Growth - In 1H25, the company achieved toll revenue of 2.06 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 15.2%, benefiting from several factors including the consolidation of Pinglin Expressway and the impact of construction on other highways [3] - The toll revenue from Han-Ezhou Expressway increased by 56.6% due to construction impacts, while Han-Cai Expressway saw a 17.3% increase [3]   Cost and Financial Management - Operating costs increased by 22.8% year-on-year in 1H25, with intangible operating rights amortization rising by 26.3%, leading to a decline in gross margin by 3.4 percentage points to 46.8% [3] - Financial expenses decreased by 11.1% year-on-year, attributed to a drop in market interest rates, with a weighted interest rate of 2.6% in 1H25 compared to 3.15% in 1H24 [3]   Dividend Policy and Growth Potential - The company maintains a stable dividend policy, with a dividend of 0.12 HKD per share in 1H25, consistent with 1H24, and a payout ratio of 50.6% [2] - Long-term growth is expected from core assets and strategic acquisitions, with projected dividend yields of 6.9% and 7.3% for 2025 and 2026 respectively, indicating attractive returns for investors [4]
