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比音勒芬(002832):主品牌竞争力提升,第二增长曲线持续培育
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2025-04-29 09:22
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target PE of 14 times for 2025 [6][8]. Core Views - The company's revenue is projected to grow by 13% year-on-year in 2024, reaching 4 billion yuan, while net profit is expected to decline by 14% to 780 million yuan [1]. - The company is focusing on enhancing its main brand's competitiveness and nurturing a second growth curve through the development of sub-brands [4][6]. - E-commerce is experiencing high-quality and rapid growth, while offline stores are expanding steadily [3]. Revenue and Profitability - In 2024, the company's revenue is expected to be 4 billion yuan, with a net profit of 780 million yuan, resulting in a net profit margin of 19.5%, down 6.3 percentage points year-on-year [1]. - For Q1 2025, revenue is projected to be 1.29 billion yuan, with a net profit of 330 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 8% [2]. Sales Channels - In 2024, sales revenue from various channels is expected to be: e-commerce 263 million yuan (+35%), direct sales 2.568 billion yuan (+7.2%), franchise 1.139 billion yuan (+24.1%), and others 34 million yuan (+19.9%) [3]. - The company plans to open approximately 100 new stores in 2025, contributing to its growth strategy [3]. Brand Strategy - The main brand is focusing on youth-oriented marketing and product differentiation, while the sub-brand K&C is progressing well in store openings [4]. - The company is enhancing its brand image through strategic partnerships and sponsorships in sports [4]. Cash Flow and Inventory Management - The company has maintained healthy cash flow management, with operating cash flow of 750 million yuan in 2024, approximately 1.0 times the net profit [5]. - Inventory levels increased by 34.3% year-on-year to 950 million yuan by the end of 2024, with inventory turnover days improving [5]. Financial Projections - The company expects steady revenue growth of over 10% in 2025, driven by ongoing store expansion and new brand investments [5]. - Projected net profits for 2025-2027 are 707 million yuan, 797 million yuan, and 890 million yuan, respectively [6].
比音勒芬:品牌势能持续,24年加大投放短期拖累业绩-20250429
SINOLINK SECURITIES· 2025-04-29 02:23
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, expecting continued performance resilience and growth potential in the coming years [6]. Core Insights - The company reported a total revenue of 4.004 billion RMB for 2024, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 13.24%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 14.28% to 781 million RMB [3][10]. - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 1.286 billion RMB, a slight increase of 1.41%, with a net profit of 331 million RMB, down 8.47% year-on-year, aligning with expectations [3][4]. - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 5 RMB per 10 shares, totaling 285 million RMB, with a payout ratio of 36.55% [3]. Performance Analysis - The profit performance in 2024 was weaker than revenue growth, primarily due to increased brand marketing investments [4]. - The company experienced a significant revenue increase of 35% in Q4 2024, driven by strong customer loyalty and enhanced brand presence [4]. - The gross margin for 2024 was 77%, a decrease of 1.6 percentage points, while the net profit margin fell by 6.3 percentage points to 19.5% due to rising sales and management expenses [4]. Brand Development - The KENT&CURWEN brand is positioned as a second growth curve for the company, with new store openings and a focus on appealing to Gen Z consumers [5]. - The brand aims to enhance its visual identity and market presence, with new product launches planned for Spring/Summer 2025 [5]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 714 million RMB, 874 million RMB, and 1.038 billion RMB for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 14, 11, and 9 [6][10]. - The anticipated growth rates for revenue and net profit reflect a robust outlook for the company's main brand and new international brand initiatives [6].
比音勒芬(002832):品牌势能持续,24年加大投放短期拖累业绩
SINOLINK SECURITIES· 2025-04-29 02:01
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, expecting continued performance resilience and growth potential in the coming years [6]. Core Insights - The company reported a total revenue of 4.004 billion RMB for 2024, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 13.24%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 14.28% to 781 million RMB [3][10]. - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 1.286 billion RMB, a slight increase of 1.41%, with a net profit of 331 million RMB, down 8.47% year-on-year, aligning with expectations [3][4]. - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 5 RMB per 10 shares, totaling 285 million RMB, with a payout ratio of 36.55% [3]. Performance Analysis - The profit performance in 2024 was weaker than revenue growth, primarily due to increased brand marketing investments [4]. - The company experienced a significant revenue increase of 35% in Q4 2024, driven by strong customer loyalty and enhanced brand presence [4]. - The gross margin for 2024 was 77%, a decrease of 1.6 percentage points, while the net profit margin fell by 6.3 percentage points to 19.5% due to rising sales and management expenses [4]. Brand Development - The KENT&CURWEN brand is positioned as a second growth curve for the company, with new store openings and a focus on appealing to Gen Z consumers [5]. - The brand aims to enhance its visual identity and market presence, with new product launches planned for Spring/Summer 2025 [5]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 714 million RMB, 874 million RMB, and 1.038 billion RMB for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 14, 11, and 9 [6][10]. - The main brand is anticipated to continue gaining influence, supported by the successful launch of international new brands and improved operations [6].