【开源化工】氨纶行业更新：节后氨纶价格继续上涨，汽运开始部分恢复 根据CCF数据，2月25日，氨纶价格偏强，40D报价为23，700元/吨，较节前上涨200元/吨。 此次节后归来，氨纶行业库存处于近几年春节后同期偏低水平，我们认为，预计节后氨纶价格持续坚挺表现，新 单重心或继续上移。 预计未来两日尚有800元/吨的涨幅，即节后3日内落实1000元/吨涨幅，40D价格或至24，500元/吨。 推荐标的：华峰化学、新乡化纤。 【开源化工】氨纶行业更新：节后氨纶价格继续上涨，汽运开始部分恢复 根据CCF数据，2月25日，氨纶价格偏强，40D报价为23，700元/吨，较节前上涨200元/吨。 局部新单跟进供应商多小幅执行前期涨幅，部分节前订货仍在陆续发货中，当前汽运部分恢复。 预计未来两日尚有800元/吨的涨幅，即节后3日内落实1000元/吨涨幅，40D价格或至24，500元/吨。 节后织厂于正月初八到正月十二（2月24日-28日）开市，随着工人到岗的增加负荷逐步提升，预计3月初起负荷提 升将加速。 局部新单跟进供应商多小幅执行前期涨幅，部分节前订货仍在陆续发货中，当前汽运部分恢复。 ...

Investment Rating - The report rates the industry as "Outperform" [8] Core Insights - The domestic spandex consumption is expected to reach 1.088 million tons by 2025, with a significant year-on-year growth of 7.55%, and a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 13.68% from 2022 to 2025 [1][30] - The spandex industry is currently experiencing a price and margin bottoming out, with prices as of January 23, 2026, at 23,000 yuan per ton, marking a historical low since 2010 [1][7] - The demand for spandex is driven by the growth of high spandex content apparel, particularly in sportswear and underwear, as consumer preferences shift towards comfort and quality [30][68] Summary by Sections 1. Spandex Product Overview - Spandex, known as polyurethane fiber, is characterized by its exceptional elasticity, capable of stretching 400%-800% and maintaining a recovery rate of over 95% even after being stretched five times [2][14] - The production process is dominated by dry spinning technology, which accounts for over 80% of the total production [19][25] 2. Supply and Demand Balance - The spandex production capacity in China is projected to reach 1.498 million tons by the end of 2025, with a significant concentration of production in the western regions due to energy cost advantages [30][49] - The demand for spandex is expected to grow steadily, driven by the increasing proportion of spandex in high-content apparel, particularly in sportswear and underwear [30][56] 3. Price and Cost Analysis - Current spandex prices and margins are at historical lows, with expectations for recovery as supply expansion approaches its end and demand continues to grow [7][28] - The main raw material costs account for over 40% of production costs, impacting overall profitability [21][30] 4. Related Companies - Key players in the spandex industry include Huafeng Chemical, Xinxiang Chemical Fiber, and Taihe New Materials, with significant market shares and production capacities [44][51]