基础化工 2026 年 03 月 01 日 投资评级：看好（维持） 行业走势图 数据来源：聚源 -14% 0% 14% 29% 43% 58% 72% 2025-02 2025-06 2025-10 基础化工 沪深300 相关研究报告 《成本支撑、需求稳增，蛋氨酸、VE 价格底部反弹—维生素氨基酸行业点 评报告》-2026.2.10 《地产或将复苏，关注化工地产链投 资机会—行业周报》-2026.2.8 《原料价格走高+供需格局改善，本周 对硝基氯化苯、己二酸等价格上行明 显—行业周报》-2026.2.1 节后化纤价格普遍上涨，看好磷化工战略价值重估 ——化工行业周报 | 金益腾（分析师） 张晓锋（分析师） 宋梓荣（分析师） | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | jinyiteng@kysec.cn zhangxiaofeng@kysec.cn songzirong@kysec.cn | | | | | 证书编号：S0790520020002 证书编号：S0790522080003 证书编号：S0790525070002 | | | | |  行业观点 1：美国取消芬太尼关 ...

基础化工 2026 年 03 月 01 日 投资评级：看好（维持） 行业走势图 数据来源：聚源 -14% 0% 14% 29% 43% 58% 72% 2025-02 2025-06 2025-10 基础化工 沪深300 相关研究报告 《成本支撑、需求稳增，蛋氨酸、VE 价格底部反弹—维生素氨基酸行业点 评报告》-2026.2.10 《地产或将复苏，关注化工地产链投 资机会—行业周报》-2026.2.8 《原料价格走高+供需格局改善，本周 对硝基氯化苯、己二酸等价格上行明 显—行业周报》-2026.2.1 节后化纤价格普遍上涨，看好磷化工战略价值重估 ——化工行业周报 | 金益腾（分析师） 张晓锋（分析师） 宋梓荣（分析师） | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | jinyiteng@kysec.cn zhangxiaofeng@kysec.cn songzirong@kysec.cn | | | | | 证书编号：S0790520020002 证书编号：S0790522080003 证书编号：S0790525070002 | | | | |  行业观点 1：美国取消芬太尼关 ...

涨价通胀或成为主线：买什么？20260226 摘要 通胀预期升温，电子布等环节涨价，化工品价格与股价处于相对有利位 置，部分品种从被动去库转向主动补库，逐步接近拐点，建议关注"涨 价/通胀"主线下的化工领域投资机会。 万华化学业绩预测乐观，2026 年预计达 160 亿，主要来自石化业务及 新能源材料改善。MDI/TDI 价格敏感性高，每吨涨价 1,000 元可增厚利 润 34 亿，海外提价趋势明显，估值仍有提升空间。 甜味剂行业格局良好，金禾实业在安赛蜜和三氯蔗糖市场占据重要地位， 具备提价逻辑支撑。若安赛蜜涨价至 3 万元以上，预计增加利润 3 亿多 元；三氯蔗糖若协同涨价，利润目标可达 16 亿元。 农药板块处于底部，美国政策可能催化价格上涨，但需观察基本面兑现 情况。磷矿行业景气度较高，下游需求旺盛，但出口端管控严格，短期 国内磷化工以国内运行为主，关注春耕后出口政策变化。 黄磷供给受双碳政策约束，需求端有不可替代性，硫磺价格高位支撑。 若含磷农药出口预期增强，将进一步带动黄磷需求上行，价格看涨情绪 浓厚。 Q&A 如何理解未来一段时间"涨价/通胀"可能成为重要主线的核心逻辑？化工板块 在其中处于什么 ...

摘要 氨纶行业在经历约 5 年的价格下行和产业出清后，供需关系预计在 2026 年初显着改善，需求端长期保持 8%-10%的增速，主要受益于消 费偏好向舒适度倾斜，而供给端预计在 2026 年基本无新增产能，部分 小厂可能退出。 公司节前节后均按计划上调氨纶报价，累计上调约 2000 元/吨，执行态 度坚决，当前涨价落实无实质障碍，后续价格变动节奏将参考 3 月 11 日左右的行业会议研判。 氨纶行业产能出清仍在推进，涨价难以改变出清节奏，相关企业需实现 显著盈利才能缓解债务压力，仅靠涨价难以达到目标。 春节后下游复工和拿货节奏提前，主要受关税变化和欧美服装厂商补库 需求驱动，2026 年一季度纺织服装产业链存在超预期可能性，国内坯 布库存快速下降是积极信号。 氨纶扩产项目受"双碳"指标影响，进度被打乱，目前未见厂家拿到相 关指标，华峰和本公司扩产项目预计短期内难以获取指标，扩建节奏受 限。 Q&A 对黏胶长丝与氨纶两大主业在 2026 年的行业判断分别是什么？核心逻辑是什 么？ 新乡化纤 20260226 黏胶长丝供给端与需求端均相对稳定，产品体量较小，主要用于纺织服装中的 特定应用场景，预计 2026 年 ...

化工品涨价潮持续蔓延，消息面上，2月25日，巴斯夫宣布，从即日起，或根据合同条款允许的情况， 巴斯夫上调东盟地区MDI产品价格，涨幅为200美元/吨。此次价格调整主要由于原材料成本持续上涨所 致。此外，主流氨纶企业今天氨纶价格均上调了1000元每吨，氯虫苯甲氨酰（康宽）提价23500元，K 胺（氯虫苯甲氨酰中间体）提价10000元。 数据显示，截至2026年1月30日，中证细分化工产业主题指数(000813)前十大权重股分别为万华化学、 盐湖股份、藏格矿业、天赐材料、华鲁恒升、恒力石化、巨化股份、宝丰能源、云天化、荣盛石化，前 十大权重股合计占比44.82%。 化工ETF(159870)，场外联接(接A：014942；C：014943；I：022792)。 中泰证券指出，全球MDI供需格局正边际向好，2026—2027年预计出现65—107万吨供给缺口，叠加海 外高成本产能持续退出，行业价格中枢有望逐步上行。 截至2026年2月26日 13:06，中证细分化工产业主题指数(000813)上涨0.48%，成分股盐湖股份上涨 8.40%，蓝晓科技上涨6.23%，博源化工上涨3.97%，中简科技上涨3.62%，藏格 ...

陈屹 国金证券化工首席: 好的，谢谢惠助理。各位同事大家早早上好，也祝大家新年快乐，投资大吉。我是国金化 工陈意，那么我们本周的这个主题其实更多的是围绕着新年化工买什么？那么我先由我这 边来汇报一下，就是整个板块新年的一个边际变化，以及之后的一个投资的一个建议，那 么先由我这边开始讲一下，先讲一下整个板块的一个变化和投资建议。我会把它串起来讲 然后我们的理解是这样，就是站在新年来看，我们的理解，方向上面的话，主要是两个方 向。第一个是整个新兴的一个产业，第二个的话就是传统的一个周期。 那么在新兴产业这边的话，我们的理解今年主要是两个两条主线两条主线，第一条主线的 话就是通胀的环节，就是进一步通胀的环节，我一个理解就是随着整个人工智能需求的一 个进步进一步增长。那么整个就是越会有越来越多的通胀环节会出现。比如说在年前的话 除了大家常关注的像比如说 PCB 存储之外的话，我们也看到像电子布等等这些产品的话， 也出现了通胀的一个迹象。所以我们的理解，通胀的品种会越来越多。那么以今年的这个 过年期间的话，其实也有个重要的一个新闻，就是存储，存储现在市场其实在不断的一个 上调预期，大，比如说以 SK 海力士为例，它也有 ...

每当夜幕降临，宁夏宁东国家级能源化工基地（以下简称"宁东基地"）的灯火渐次亮起，宛若星河垂落，为这片 雄踞能源"金三角"的西北大地披上柔光。那连绵的光辉，不仅映照着土地的轮廓，更跃动着产业勃发的强劲脉 搏。 科技引领，集群成势：从"标杆企业"到"热带雨林"式产业生态 以宝丰能源、国能宁煤、泰和新材等为代表的龙头企业，不仅是宁东基地的产业基石，更是驱动产业集群化创新 发展的核心引擎。它们共同支撑起一个多元化、高能级的现代产业体系，推动宁东从单个企业"一枝独秀"迈向产 业集群"百花齐放"的发展新阶段。 2024年，宁东基地工业总产值突破2000亿元大关，连续跻身全国化工园区前十强，其现代煤化工产业成功入选国 家级先进制造业集群。产值数字背后，是基地坚定向产业链下游高附加值环节延伸的战略定力，推动产品结构从 大宗基础原料向高端专用化学品、化工新材料跃升。 通过深入推进"补链延链强链"举措，宁东基地系统规划并布局了下游高附加值产业。一方面，坚持以科技创新为 引领，推动现有龙头企业向产业链下游拓展，着力生产高密度聚乙烯、EVA等高附加值化工新材料；另一方面， 充分发挥煤化工在甲醇、氢气等基础原料方面的优势，积极开展产业 ...

Core Viewpoint - The company Huafeng Chemical (002064) will face significant events in 2026, including shareholder reductions, fulfillment of major asset injection commitments, and the advancement of multiple capacity expansion projects [1] Shareholder Reduction - Four shareholders, including You Jinhwan, Chen Linzhen, You Xiaoling, and You Xiaoyan, plan to reduce their holdings by a total of up to 36.19 million shares, accounting for 0.73% of the company's total share capital, between March 3, 2026, and June 2, 2026, through centralized bidding or block trading [2] Project Advancement - The company expects to complete the injection of relevant target assets by December 2026, aiming to fulfill commitments and further integrate resources [3] - The first phase of the PTMEG project is anticipated to be completed by the end of 2026 [5] Capacity Expansion - The remaining 75,000 tons of capacity from the spandex fundraising project is planned to be gradually put into production by the end of 2026, bringing the company's total capacity to 475,000 tons [4] - The board of directors approved an investment of 3.6 billion yuan to construct a new high-performance, low-carbon, intelligent spandex material expansion project with an annual output of 200,000 tons on January 30, 2026 [4] Recent Stock Performance - On February 2, 2026, Huafeng Chemical's stock price hit the daily limit down, which market analysts believe may be related to industry cycle fluctuations, funding pressures from expansion projects, and institutional capital flows [6]

Group 1 - Huafeng Chemical (002064) is a global leader in the spandex industry, with strong technical advantages in differentiated spandex and early investments in bio-based and recycled spandex, benefiting from the growing demand for green fibers [2][34] - Tongkun Co., Ltd. (601233) is a domestic leader in the polyester filament industry, with strong technical and capacity advantages in differentiated and high-end products, and is expected to benefit from the recovery of downstream textile demand and policies promoting recycled fibers [3][35] - New Fengming (603225) is a core player in the polyester filament industry, with a strong position in differentiated and high-end products, and is well-positioned to benefit from the recovery of textile demand and the promotion of recycled fibers [4][36] Group 2 - Shuangxin Environmental Protection (001369) is a core enterprise in the PVA industry, with strong technical and capacity advantages, and is expanding into biodegradable and bio-based materials, expected to benefit from the growing demand for biodegradable materials [5][38] - Tianfulong (603406) is a core player in the polyester industrial yarn industry, with strong technical advantages and is expanding into high-performance and recycled industrial yarns, expected to benefit from the growth in automotive and industrial fabric demand [6][39] - Wanwei High-tech (600063) is a leading company in the PVA industry, with strong technical advantages and is expanding into biodegradable materials, expected to benefit from the growing demand for biodegradable materials [7][40] Group 3 - Xinxiang Chemical Fiber (000949) is a core enterprise in the viscose staple fiber industry, with strong technical advantages and is expanding into recycled viscose and bio-based viscose, expected to benefit from the recovery of textile demand [8][41] - Taihe New Materials (002254) is a leader in the aramid industry, with strong technical advantages and is expanding into high-performance and bio-based aramid, expected to benefit from the growth in high-end fields [9][42] - Jilin Chemical Fiber (000420) is a core player in the viscose staple fiber industry, with strong technical advantages and is expanding into high-performance carbon fiber, expected to benefit from the growth in aerospace and new energy sectors [10][44] Group 4 - Sanfangxiang (600370) is a core enterprise in the PTA industry, with strong technical advantages and is expanding into recycled PTA and bio-based PTA, expected to benefit from the recovery of textile demand [11][45] - Shenma Co., Ltd. (600810) is a leader in the nylon 66 industry, with strong technical advantages and is expanding into high-performance and recycled nylon, expected to benefit from the growth in automotive and industrial fabric demand [12][46] - Hailide (002206) is a leader in the polyester industrial yarn industry, with strong technical advantages and is expanding into high-performance and recycled industrial yarns, expected to benefit from the growth in automotive and industrial fabric demand [13][47] Group 5 - Youfu Co., Ltd. (002427) is a core player in the polyester industrial yarn industry, with strong technical advantages and is expanding into high-performance and recycled industrial yarns, expected to benefit from the growth in automotive and industrial fabric demand [14][48] - Huaxi Co., Ltd. (000936) is a core enterprise in the polyester staple fiber industry, with strong technical advantages and is expanding into recycled and bio-based polyester, expected to benefit from the recovery of textile demand [15][49] - Baolidi (300905) is a leader in the chemical fiber color masterbatch industry, with strong technical advantages and is expanding into biodegradable color masterbatches, expected to benefit from the green transformation of the chemical fiber industry [16][51] Group 6 - Nanjing Chemical Fiber (600889) is a core player in the viscose staple fiber industry, with strong technical advantages and is expanding into recycled viscose and bio-based viscose, expected to benefit from the recovery of textile demand [17][52] - Haiyang Technology (603382) is a core enterprise in the polyester industrial yarn industry, with strong technical advantages and is expanding into high-performance and recycled industrial yarns, expected to benefit from the growth in automotive and industrial fabric demand [18][53]

Core Viewpoint - Ningdong Energy and Chemical Base is transforming its traditional coal chemical industry into a modern, high-value-added sector while addressing global energy transitions and structural challenges in resource-based regions, aiming for a total industrial output value exceeding 200 billion yuan by 2024 [1][3][4]. Group 1: Industrial Development and Achievements - Ningdong Base aims to solidify its position as a national leader in modern coal chemical industries, with a coal-to-oil project operating at 4 million tons per year, accounting for half of the national capacity [4]. - The base has achieved significant milestones, including being recognized as a national-level advanced manufacturing cluster and winning the National Science and Technology Progress Award for its coal-to-oil technology [1][4]. - By 2024, the industrial output value is projected to exceed 200 billion yuan, making it the first chemical park in central and western China to reach this milestone [1][3]. Group 2: Strategic Initiatives and Innovations - The base is focusing on high-quality development by transitioning from primary product processing to high-end manufacturing, emphasizing smart, green, and integrated industrial growth [3][5]. - It is actively developing downstream high-value products, such as high-density polyethylene and EVA, to enhance product competitiveness and risk resilience [5][6]. - The introduction of major projects has led to the establishment of new industrial clusters, including the "spandex valley" and "aromatic valley," positioning Ningdong as a key player in high-performance fiber production [6]. Group 3: Technological Innovation and R&D - Ningdong Base has increased its R&D investment intensity to 2.85%, significantly above the regional average, and has established multiple high-level innovation platforms [8][11]. - The base has completed 40 pilot projects and attracted over 30 top universities and research institutions to participate in its innovation ecosystem [9][12]. - By the end of the "14th Five-Year Plan," the number of innovation platforms is expected to reach 80, covering all key industrial sectors [11]. Group 4: Environmental Sustainability and Green Transition - The base is committed to a green transition, with a focus on energy structure optimization and the construction of a green electricity park with a total renewable energy capacity of 6.12 million kilowatts [19][20]. - It has implemented over 150 energy-saving and carbon-reduction projects, achieving a 17.5% reduction in energy consumption per unit of GDP from 2021 to 2024 [22]. - The establishment of a carbon capture, utilization, and storage (CCUS) project is a significant step towards deep decarbonization in the coal chemical industry [22]. Group 5: Safety and Risk Management - Safety production is prioritized, with a comprehensive safety management system and initiatives to enhance safety awareness among employees [13][14]. - The base has implemented a risk management platform that utilizes big data for dynamic assessment and early warning of major hazards [15][17]. - A series of safety drills and emergency response plans have been established to ensure preparedness for potential incidents [18]. Group 6: Economic and Social Development - Ningdong Base is enhancing its business environment through reforms that streamline administrative processes, achieving an 81% reduction in processing times for enterprise-related matters [29][32]. - The base has invested in public services, including housing and education, to improve living conditions for workers and their families [34][35]. - It aims to create a harmonious social environment by ensuring comprehensive social security coverage and promoting employment opportunities [36]. Group 7: Future Outlook and Strategic Goals - The base is set to continue its focus on high-quality development, aiming for an industrial output value of over 300 billion yuan by 2030, doubling its economic output from 2022 [38][39]. - Strategic initiatives will include enhancing coal supply resilience, developing modern coal chemical industries, and fostering innovation in new energy and materials [39][40].