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中际旭创(300308):高速率稳步迭代,推动业绩增长
HUAXI Securities· 2025-04-25 02:52
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" [1] Core Views - The company has shown significant revenue growth, with 2024 revenue reaching 23.862 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 122.64%, and a net profit of 5.171 billion yuan, up 137.93% [2][11] - The demand for high-speed optical modules, particularly in the 800G and above categories, is driving performance growth, with optical communication modules generating revenue of 22.89 billion yuan in 2024, a 124.8% increase [3][5] - The AI sector is expected to continue driving rapid growth in the optical module market, with projections indicating that the global optical module market could reach 25.8 billion USD by 2029 [4][5] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved total revenue of 23.862 billion yuan, with a net profit of 5.171 billion yuan, reflecting substantial growth rates of 122.64% and 137.93% respectively [2][13] - For Q1 2025, the company reported revenue of 6.674 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 37.82%, and a net profit of 1.583 billion yuan, up 56.83% [2] Market Trends - The demand for high-end products, particularly in data centers, is increasing, leading to a significant rise in revenue from optical communication modules [3] - The market for 800G and 1.6T optical modules is expected to grow, with predictions indicating that the market size will exceed 16 billion USD by 2029 [5] Investment Recommendations - Given the stable growth driven by AI in the optical module market and the acceleration of high-speed optical module upgrades, the market valuation is considered low. Revenue forecasts for 2025 have been adjusted to 35.925 billion yuan, with expected earnings per share of 6.85 yuan [11][13]
中际旭创(300308):一季度业绩略超预期,AI仍将持续带动行业高景气
Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company with a target price of 85 CNY, indicating a potential upside from the current price of 71.99 CNY [1][8]. Core Insights - The company is expected to achieve a net profit of 1.4 to 1.7 billion CNY in Q1 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 38.71% to 68.44% [9]. - The demand for 800G and 400G high-speed products is anticipated to continue growing due to strong capital expenditures in computing infrastructure [9]. - Recent concerns regarding tariffs have eased, and the company is well-positioned to benefit from the ongoing AI industry boom, which is crucial for the demand for optical modules [9]. - The company maintains its leading position in the optical module sector, with new technologies like 1.6T and silicon photonics progressing well [9]. - Profit forecasts for 2024-2026 indicate significant growth, with net profits projected at 5.17 billion CNY, 6.43 billion CNY, and 8.12 billion CNY, respectively [11]. Company Overview - The company operates in the communication industry and has a market capitalization of approximately 79.14 billion CNY [2]. - The stock has experienced a decline of 29.3% over the past month and 39.0% over the past year [2]. - Major shareholders include Shandong Zhongji Investment Holding Co., Ltd., which holds 11.32% of the shares [2]. Financial Performance - The company reported a net profit of 1.22 billion CNY in 2022, with projections of 2.17 billion CNY in 2023 and significant increases in the following years [11]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is expected to rise from 1.52 CNY in 2022 to 7.24 CNY by 2026 [11]. - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is projected to decrease from 98 in 2022 to 10 by 2026, indicating a potentially undervalued stock [11].