汽车技术研究与服务

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中国汽研(601965):智能网联强检落地将至,看好汽车检测行业空间扩容与格局重塑
Soochow Securities· 2025-07-22 11:32
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [3] Core Views - The implementation of L2 national standards is expected to significantly boost the company's performance, with revenue forecasts for 2025 set at 5.47 billion yuan, and increased projections for 2026 and 2027 to 7.00 billion and 8.39 billion yuan respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 17% and 28% [3] - The company is positioned as a leading player in the automotive testing industry, focusing on technical services driven by smart and connected vehicles, with a revenue share from automotive technical services expected to rise to 87.82% in 2024 [8][14] - The company has established a comprehensive testing and evaluation system for smart and connected vehicles, which is crucial for gaining industry pricing power [8][59] Summary by Sections Financial Forecasts and Investment Rating - The company is projected to achieve total revenue of 4.70 billion yuan in 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 14.65%, and a net profit of 907.78 million yuan, reflecting an 8.56% increase [3] - The report anticipates a steady increase in net profit, with estimates of 1.11 billion yuan for 2025, 1.39 billion yuan for 2026, and 1.72 billion yuan for 2027, corresponding to year-on-year growth rates of 22.67%, 25.14%, and 23.21% respectively [3] Industry Overview - The automotive testing industry is undergoing a transformation with the introduction of mandatory testing for smart and connected vehicles, which is expected to expand the market by 50% [8][56] - The company has invested over 2.3 billion yuan in its East China headquarters, which is set to commence operations by the end of 2025, enhancing its capacity to meet the demands of mandatory testing [8][24] Company Development and Strategy - The company has a rich history as a third-party automotive testing leader, established in 1965, and has undergone several transformations to enhance its capabilities [14][15] - The company is actively expanding its international presence and has formed partnerships with various organizations to promote standard recognition and market development [25]