油气生产系统专用件

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迪威尔(688377):油气设备专用件领先供应商,有望受益深海+非常规油气开采
Soochow Securities· 2025-05-24 00:20
Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [1]. Core Viewpoints - The company has over 20 years of experience in the oil and gas industry and has entered the supply chain of global oil service leaders, establishing itself as a high-tech enterprise specializing in the research, production, and sales of oil and gas drilling equipment components [2][15]. - The oil service industry is expected to benefit from increased capital expenditure by oil and gas companies, particularly in deep-sea and unconventional oil and gas sectors, which are seen as long-term trends [3][50]. - The company currently has a low market share, indicating significant growth potential, especially as it aims to increase its market presence in deep-sea and fracturing equipment [4][67]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company, established in 1996, has developed a range of specialized components for oil and gas production systems, blowout preventers, and unconventional oil and gas extraction [15][20]. - The company has faced revenue fluctuations, with a projected revenue of 1.12 billion yuan in 2024, a decrease of 7% year-on-year, and a net profit of 90 million yuan, down 40% year-on-year, primarily due to external factors affecting export orders [2][28]. Industry Outlook - The global deep-sea oil and gas equipment market is projected to grow from $18.4 billion in 2023 to $26.5 billion by 2029, with a CAGR of 6.1% [4]. - The company is well-positioned to benefit from the increasing demand for deep-sea oil and gas extraction technologies, supported by government policies promoting deep-sea technology development [57][62]. Financial Projections - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 140 million yuan, 210 million yuan, and 260 million yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 27, 18, and 14 [10]. - The company's revenue is anticipated to grow significantly in the coming years, driven by the release of scale effects and the ongoing domestic development of unconventional oil and gas [2][10]. Market Position - The company has established long-term strategic partnerships with major global oil service companies, with its top five customers accounting for over 70% of annual sales [23][24]. - The company aims to increase its market share in deep-sea equipment to 3%, translating to potential revenue of 2.9 billion yuan, and in domestic fracturing equipment to 40%, corresponding to 680 million yuan in revenue [4][67].
迪威尔(688377):新项目按期推进 深海产品景气上行
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-04-29 02:40
Core Viewpoint - The company reported lower-than-expected financial performance for 2024 and Q1 2025, primarily due to slower growth in the oil and gas production system components business, but anticipates potential market opportunities from upcoming projects [1][4]. Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved revenue of 1.124 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 7.12%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 86 million yuan, down 39.90% year-on-year [1]. - For Q1 2025, revenue was 271 million yuan, a decline of 5.36% year-on-year, with a net profit of 21 million yuan, down 25.40% year-on-year [1]. - The annual report's performance was below expectations, with a forecasted net profit of 104 million yuan [1]. Profitability and Cost Structure - The gross margin for 2024 was 18.80%, a decrease of 3.18 percentage points, attributed to delays in downstream oil and gas projects and a decline in deep-sea product sales [2]. - In Q1 2025, the gross margin was 18.96%, showing a year-on-year decrease of 0.54 percentage points but an increase of 0.62 percentage points from the previous quarter [2]. - The total expense ratio for 2024 was 9.47%, an increase of 0.58 percentage points year-on-year, driven by higher management expenses due to the acquisition of a Singapore subsidiary [2]. Market Outlook and Opportunities - The offshore oil and gas exploration and development sector remains robust, with deep-sea product orders expected to rebound as international oil prices remain high [2]. - According to Clarkson's forecast, global capital expenditure for offshore oil and gas projects is expected to exceed 100 billion dollars in 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of over 20% [2]. - The company is a key supplier of specialized components in the deep-sea equipment sector for major players like TechnipFMC, SLB, and Baker Hughes, positioning it to benefit from the structural recovery in deep-sea markets [2]. Investment Projects and Future Growth - The company has been advancing its multi-directional forging project for over a decade, targeting the domestic replacement of high-end large valves, with leading global forging technology [3]. - The project is on schedule, having completed critical phases such as equipment installation and main equipment debugging, indicating a potential for substantial returns from high capital expenditures [3]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company has revised down its net profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 by 14% and 2% respectively, estimating net profits of 150 million yuan and 245 million yuan [4]. - The estimated net profit for 2027 is projected to be 296 million yuan [4]. - The company is assigned a target price of 21.58 yuan for 2025, based on a price-to-earnings ratio of 28 times, reflecting a premium due to its leading technology in investment projects [4].