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沿海运价显著回落,江船运价延续涨势
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-14 07:51
Group 1: Inland Transportation - The wheat market is experiencing weak fluctuations at high levels, with increased willingness to sell among grain holders as year-end approaches, leading to a temporary increase in market circulation [1] - The demand for inland shipping is supported by the ongoing release of autumn grain, with limited fluctuations in mainstream freight rates [1] - Jiangsu river shipping continues to show a strong trend, with freight rates rising by 5-10 yuan/ton due to tight available shipping capacity and increased grain circulation [1] Group 2: Coastal Transportation - The coastal grain transportation market is experiencing a significant decline, with freight rates for 5000-ton grain ships from Anning Port to Guangdong dropping to 68-73 yuan/ton, a decrease of about 10 yuan/ton from the previous week [3] - The decline is driven by improved operational efficiency at northern ports, which has released previously stranded shipping capacity, and weak demand from the southern market [3] - The market sentiment has noticeably declined due to the lack of incremental demand, with flour companies maintaining low inventory levels and a strategy of purchasing based on need [3] Group 3: Market Forecast - Inland transportation is expected to remain stable, with attention on the dynamics of wheat and autumn grain sales and pre-holiday stocking sentiment [2] - Coastal transportation rates are likely to remain under pressure in the short term, with potential for further slight declines due to the gradual return of shipping capacity and subdued demand [4]
沿海运价高位回调 内河运费基本稳定
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-07 15:37
Group 1: Inland Transportation - The overall price of inland grain shipping remains stable, with slight weakness in some routes; however, the capacity of river vessels continues to be tight, leading to an increase in grain shipping prices [1] - The sentiment of grain holders is gradually easing, with traders showing a stronger willingness to sell, which has supplemented the market's wheat circulation; the listing of autumn grain is accelerating, providing stable sources of supply [1] - Factors such as upstream drought and restricted passage through ship locks have exacerbated the short-term supply-demand tension, pushing prices up, with prices for shipping to Chongqing increasing by approximately 10 yuan/ton this week [1] Group 2: Coastal Transportation - The coastal grain transportation market is experiencing a high-level correction, with slight declines in freight rates on major routes from the Suwan region to southern coastal areas; for instance, the freight rate from Anning Port to Guangdong for 5000-ton vessels is around 78-83 yuan/ton, down about 2 yuan/ton from last week [3] - The correction is driven by improved port efficiency in northern ports, as previously constrained shipping capacity is gradually being released; additionally, the flow of southern wheat has not significantly increased, leading to cautious purchasing by downstream flour enterprises [3] - Despite current freight rates being relatively high compared to previous years, the market shows signs of fatigue due to a lack of demand growth and marginal improvements in supply capacity [3] Group 3: Market Outlook - The increase in wheat circulation and the ongoing peak season for autumn grain is expected to keep inland shipping rates stable; however, structural bottlenecks in shipping capacity due to drought and congestion in the Yangtze River are likely to support river shipping rates in the short term [2] - As the pressure on northern ports eases, available shipping capacity is expected to return to southern routes, leading to a more relaxed supply-demand balance; if demand from the south remains weak, there is potential for further declines in freight rates [4]