Core Viewpoint - Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation (SMIC) has shown strong stock performance recently, with a 3.5% increase on the latest trading day, reaching a price of 82.7 HKD, indicating a critical technical position for the stock [3]. Technical Analysis - The stock price has surpassed all major moving averages, with MA10 at 74.73 HKD, MA30 at 75.24 HKD, and MA60 at 65.05 HKD, forming a bullish arrangement [3]. - Multiple oscillators are signaling sell indications, particularly the MACD and Bollinger Bands, which suggest caution for investors [3]. - The RSI is at 57, indicating a neutral range, while the Williams %R shows overbought conditions, hinting at potential short-term pullback pressure [3]. Support and Resistance Levels - Key resistance is at 86.5 HKD; a breakthrough could lead to a target of 95.5 HKD. Support levels are at 72.6 HKD and 64.5 HKD [3]. - The stock has experienced a volatility of 12.3% over the past five days, suggesting significant price fluctuations may occur around these critical levels [3]. Derivative Products Performance - Recent performance of structured products has been notable, with the BNP Paribas call option (19088) surging 27% in two days, and the UBS bull certificate (63595) rising 63%, while the underlying stock only increased by 6.88% [3]. - Popular call options include those from Bank of China (21283) and UBS (17146), both with a strike price around 95.05 HKD, offering approximately 3.3 times leverage [5]. Bear and Bull Certificates - UBS bull certificate (63595) and HSBC bull certificate (61585) have a redemption price set at 68 HKD, providing nearly 6 times actual leverage, suitable for high-risk tolerance investors [7]. - For bearish investors, UBS bear certificate (63598) and Societe Generale bear certificate (62695) have a redemption price at 95 HKD, aligning with the second resistance level [7]. Market Sentiment - Despite the recent price increase, some investors are beginning to adopt a slightly bearish outlook, which aligns with the technical signals indicating a predominance of sell signals [10]. - The stock's resistance level at 86 HKD is crucial for determining whether the upward trend can continue or if a correction is imminent [11].

港股近期氣氛反覆，半導體股中芯（00981）成為市場焦點。股價在過去五日振幅超過21%，顯示市場對其走勢存在明顯分歧。上週連跌3日後，今日股價逆勢上 揚，截止10點，升幅有1.35%，報78.6元。盤中暫時最高81.4元。 從技術走勢來看，中芯目前處於關鍵位置，10天線（82.8元）與30天線（70.29元）形成重要參考，而即市支持位在68元，阻力位則在89.1元水平。股價若能 穩守68元支持，短線或有機會挑戰89.1元阻力區；反之，若失守此支持位，則可能下探62.2元的下一個支持水平。 | | | 技術指標呈現混合信號，RSI處於58水平，顯示中性偏強格局。多個震盪指標中，動量震盪指標和變動率指標發出買入信號，但威廉指標和隨機震盪指標則 維持中立。MACD和一目均衡表均呈現買入信號，保力加通道則顯示股價在通道中軸附近運行。這些技術指標的矛盾的確值得深思，您認為在當前市況下， 應該更關注哪些技術指標的訊號？ 在認購證方面，法巴認購證（19088）提供4.6倍槓桿，行使價88.93元，其特點是溢價最低且槓桿較高，適合看好中芯突破阻力位的投資者。中銀認購證 （18977）則提供4.2倍槓桿，行使價88.88元，槓 ...