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天海防务:毛利率显著提升,深海产品景气向上-20250512
HTSC· 2025-05-12 05:45
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is maintained as "Buy" with a target price of RMB 7.15 [7][8]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of RMB 3.945 billion for 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 9.40%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of RMB 138.55 million, up 36.40% year-on-year [1][6]. - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of RMB 747 million, a 10.86% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of RMB 40.79 million, reflecting a 32.32% year-on-year growth [1][6]. - The increase in gross margin to 14.81% in 2024, up 3.76 percentage points year-on-year, is attributed to a higher proportion of revenue from transportation vessels [2][3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company’s gross margin improved to 19.48% in Q1 2025, a slight increase of 0.04 percentage points year-on-year [2]. - The company delivered 16 transportation vessels and 5 offshore engineering vessels in 2023, with plans to deliver 22 transportation vessels and 5 offshore vessels in 2024 [2]. - The total order backlog for marine engineering design business is RMB 1.39 billion, with construction business orders increasing by 29.37% year-on-year [2]. Market Outlook - The development of "Deep Sea Technology" is expected to enhance the company's order volume, supported by government initiatives to promote the marine economy [3]. - The International Maritime Organization's (IMO) mid-term agreement on shipping carbon emissions is anticipated to boost demand for green vessels, where the company holds a leading position [3]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The net profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 have been adjusted downwards to RMB 189.87 million and RMB 248.54 million, respectively, due to uncertainties in revenue recognition for high-margin businesses [4]. - The company is assigned a PE ratio of 65 times for 2025, reflecting its leadership in ship design and development [4].