NOV (NYSE:NOV) Q4 2025 Earnings call February 05, 2026 11:00 AM ET Speaker2day, and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the NOV fourth quarter 2025 earnings conference call. At this time, all participants are on a listen-only mode. After the speaker's presentation, there'll be a question-and-answer session. To ask a question during the session, you will need to press star one one on your telephone. You will then hear an automated message advising your hand is raised. To withdraw your question, please pres ...

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - For the third quarter of 2025, the company reported revenues of $2.18 billion, a slight decrease of less than 1% year-over-year and sequentially [3][4] - Net income was $42 million, translating to $0.11 per fully diluted share, with adjusted EBITDA totaling $258 million, representing 11.9% of sales [3][16] - Free cash flow generation remained robust at $245 million, with a 95% conversion rate during the quarter [16][17] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The energy equipment segment generated $1.25 billion in revenue, up 2% year-over-year, with EBITDA increasing by $21 million to $180 million, resulting in a 14.4% EBITDA margin [18][19] - Capital equipment sales accounted for 63% of the energy equipment segment's revenue, increasing 20% year-over-year due to strong growth in offshore production equipment [18][19] - The intervention and stimulation capital equipment revenue fell double digits year-over-year due to a steep drop in demand for pressure pumping equipment in North America [22] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - North America represented 57% of the energy products and services segment revenue, growing 7% year-over-year, while international markets saw a 15% year-over-year decline [25] - The global rig count declined by 8%, impacting overall activity levels [25] - Demand for unconventional resources is increasing in regions like Argentina, Saudi Arabia, and the UAE, with emerging interest in countries such as Algeria and Turkey [66][70] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on capitalizing on key secular trends, including offshore production supplanting U.S. unconventional resources and the application of technology to drive efficiencies [29][30] - The company anticipates a meaningful recovery in demand beginning as soon as late 2026, driven by natural decline rates and underinvestment in exploration [29] - The strategy includes reducing structural costs and improving margins through facility consolidations and standardizing internal processes [17][18] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expects market conditions to remain soft through the next few quarters, with tariffs and inflation continuing to weigh on margins [14][29] - The outlook for the second half of 2026 and beyond is more constructive, with expectations for strengthening demand across both offshore and international land markets [14][29] - The company is optimistic about the future, citing a strong backlog and the potential for significant earnings increases when market cycles align [53][54] Other Important Information - The company repurchased 6.2 million shares for $80 million and paid dividends of $28 million, bringing total capital return to shareholders year-to-date to $393 million [17] - Tariff expenses increased to approximately $20 million, with expectations of around $25 million for the fourth quarter [17] - The company is on track to deliver over $100 million in annualized cost savings by the end of 2026 [18] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can the energy equipment business continue to show decent year-over-year growth through 2026 despite a softer near-term market? - Management indicated that the backlog will help, but there are concerns about general softness and cautious spending on quick return items like aftermarket and spares [48][49] Question: What is the outlook for margins in 2026 considering the mix of capital equipment versus aftermarket? - Management expressed optimism about the capital equipment mix and the potential for improved margins, but noted that timing remains uncertain [50][52] Question: What is the outlook for orders in the fourth quarter and beyond? - Management suggested that orders might slip below 100% book-to-bill in the fourth quarter but emphasized the importance of long-term trends over individual quarters [57][58] Question: Can you elaborate on the build-out of unconventionals in regions like Argentina and Saudi Arabia? - Management highlighted ongoing unconventional prospecting in various countries and increasing demand for NOV's services in these markets [66][70]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - For Q3 2025, NOV Inc. reported revenues of $2.18 billion, a slight decrease of less than 1% year-over-year and sequentially, with a net income of $42 million, or $0.11 per fully diluted share [3][16] - Adjusted EBITDA totaled $258 million, representing 11.9% of sales, with free cash flow generation remaining robust at $245 million [4][16] - Operating profit was $107 million, or 4.9% of sales, with EBITDA margins improving sequentially despite rising tariff and inflationary pressures [16] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The energy equipment segment generated $1.25 billion in revenue, up 2% year-over-year, with EBITDA increasing by $21 million to $180 million, resulting in a 14.4% EBITDA margin [18] - Capital equipment sales accounted for 63% of the energy equipment segment's revenue, increasing 20% year-over-year due to strong growth in offshore production equipment [18] - The intervention and stimulation capital equipment revenue fell double digits year-over-year due to a steep drop in demand for pressure pumping equipment in North America, partially offset by strong demand for coil tubing and wireline equipment [22] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - North America represented 57% of the energy products and services segment revenue, growing 7% year-over-year, while international markets saw a 15% year-over-year revenue decrease due to activity declines in the Middle East and Latin America [25] - The global rig count declined by 8% year-over-year, impacting overall activity levels [25] - Offshore oil output is forecasted to rise to approximately 13 million barrels a day by 2026, making deepwater the leading source of incremental supply growth [12] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on capitalizing on two major structural shifts: the globalization of unconventional shale development and the re-emergence of deepwater and offshore development [7][10] - NOV aims to leverage its technology and equipment to support the emerging build-out of international shale development and deepwater projects, which are expected to drive demand for its products for years to come [10][14] - The company is executing strategic sourcing initiatives to reduce tariff impacts and is focused on removing structural costs to improve margins and returns [17][18] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expects market conditions to remain soft through the next few quarters, with tariffs and inflation uncertainty weighing on margins [14] - Looking further ahead, the second half of 2026 and beyond is anticipated to see strengthening demand across both offshore and international land markets [14][29] - The company remains optimistic about the long-term outlook, driven by growing demand, natural decline rates, and a decade of underinvestment in exploration [29] Other Important Information - The company repurchased 6.2 million shares for $80 million and paid dividends of $28 million, bringing total capital return to shareholders year-to-date to $393 million [17] - Tariff expenses increased approximately $6 million sequentially, with expectations of around $25 million for the fourth quarter [17] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can the energy equipment business continue to show decent year-over-year growth through 2026 despite a softer near-term market? - Management indicated that while capital equipment demand remains strong, there are concerns about the general softness in the oilfield due to OPEC barrels affecting commodity prices [48][50] Question: What is the outlook for margins in 2026 considering the mix of capital equipment versus aftermarket? - Management expressed confidence in the capital equipment margins but noted that the timing of contracts and market conditions will be key variables [51][52] Question: What is the general outlook for orders in the fourth quarter? - Management expects orders to potentially slip below 100% book-to-bill but remains optimistic about the long-term trend [59][60] Question: Can you elaborate on the build-out of unconventionals in regions like Argentina and Saudi Arabia? - Management highlighted ongoing unconventional prospecting in various countries and the increasing demand for NOV's services in these markets [68][70] Question: What is the outlook for FPSOs and FIDs in 2025 and beyond? - Management noted a cautious outlook for FIDs in the near term but expects demand to pick up significantly in late 2026 and 2027 as the oil overhang is resolved [76]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - For Q3 2025, NOV Inc. reported revenues of $2.18 billion, a slight decrease of less than 1% year-over-year and sequentially [3][4] - Net income was $42 million, or $0.11 per fully diluted share, with adjusted EBITDA totaling $258 million, representing 11.9% of sales [3][15] - Free cash flow generation remained robust at $245 million, with a 95% conversion rate during the quarter [15][16] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The energy equipment segment generated $1.25 billion in revenue, up 2% year-over-year, with EBITDA increasing by $21 million to $180 million, resulting in a 14.4% EBITDA margin [17][18] - Capital equipment sales accounted for 63% of the energy equipment segment's revenue, increasing 20% year-over-year due to strong growth in offshore production equipment [17][18] - The intervention and stimulation capital equipment revenue fell double digits year-over-year due to a steep drop in demand for pressure pumping equipment in North America [22] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - North America represented 57% of the energy products and services segment revenue, growing 7% year-over-year, while international markets saw a 15% year-over-year decline [25] - The global rig count declined by 8% year-over-year, impacting overall activity levels [25][26] - Demand for unconventional resources is increasing in regions like Argentina, Saudi Arabia, and the UAE, with emerging interest in countries such as Algeria and Turkey [64][66] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on capitalizing on key secular trends, including offshore production supplanting U.S. unconventional resources and the application of technology to drive efficiencies [30][31] - NOV aims to improve operational efficiencies while positioning itself to benefit from the anticipated recovery in demand starting in late 2026 [30][31] - The company is executing strategic sourcing initiatives to reduce tariff impacts and is on track to deliver over $100 million in annualized cost savings by the end of 2026 [16][17] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expects market conditions to remain soft through the next few quarters, with tariffs and inflationary uncertainty weighing on margins [13][30] - The outlook for the second half of 2026 and beyond is more positive, with expectations of strengthening demand across both offshore and international land markets [13][30] - Management highlighted the importance of technology and innovation in maintaining competitive advantage and driving future growth [40][45] Other Important Information - The company repurchased 6.2 million shares for $80 million and paid dividends of $28 million, bringing total capital return to shareholders year-to-date to $393 million [16] - The backlog at the end of Q3 was $4.56 billion, the highest since reporting energy equipment as a segment [18] Q&A Session Summary Question: About the energy equipment business and backlog - Management indicated that the backlog will help maintain decent year-over-year growth through 2026, despite a softer near-term market [48][49] Question: On margins and capital equipment - Management expressed optimism about maintaining margin profiles in 2026, driven by a favorable mix of capital equipment orders [52][53] Question: Outlook for orders and book-to-bill ratio - Management expects orders in Q4 to slip slightly below 100% book-to-bill but remains positive about the long-term trend [58][59] Question: Discussion on unconventionals and international markets - Management highlighted increasing demand for unconventional resources in regions like Argentina and Saudi Arabia, with a growing interest in other countries [64][66] Question: FPSOs and future FIDs - Management noted a cautious outlook for FPSOs in 2025 but expects demand to pick up in late 2026 and 2027 as the oil overhang is resolved [72]