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京东集团首席经济学家沈建光:万亿潜力待释放 游艇经济有望成我国消费增长新引擎
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-21 10:57
Core Insights - The yacht economy in China is expected to become a new growth point for consumption, with a potential market size in the trillions of yuan, driven by both direct consumption and industrial synergy effects [1][2] Industry Overview - The yacht industry has a full lifecycle service consumption attribute, encompassing leasing, management, maintenance, crew training, financial insurance, legal consulting, and extending into tourism, dining, and shopping [2] - The U.S. yacht economy generates an annual output value of $230 billion (approximately 1.6 trillion yuan) and creates 810,000 jobs, while Italy's yacht industry contributes 13% to the national trade surplus and provides 150,000 jobs [2] Economic Impact - The yacht economy can create a multiplier effect, stimulating various sectors such as tourism, hospitality, and dining, particularly in coastal regions like Hainan, Guangdong, and Fujian [2][3] - The development of smart and environmentally friendly yachts aligns with China's technological advantages in artificial intelligence and new energy vehicles, potentially leading to advancements in related industries [2] Employment and Infrastructure - The yacht economy can generate high-quality job opportunities in crew training and maritime education, while also necessitating upgrades to port and waterway infrastructure, creating a virtuous cycle of development [3] Challenges and Policy Recommendations - Current policies, such as the restriction on yacht passenger capacity, hinder the industry's growth, with only Hainan having adjusted its limit to 26 passengers [3] - Key barriers include insufficient recreational waterways, complex approval processes, fragmented management across multiple departments, and a regulatory framework that does not align with the leisure attributes of yachts [3][4] - Recommendations include adopting international best practices for waterway planning, establishing a dedicated management department, creating a differentiated regulatory framework, promoting a more inclusive market approach, and developing localized maintenance facilities [4] Future Outlook - The "14th Five-Year Plan" period is seen as a critical window for the development of China's yacht economy, with the potential to unlock significant consumption capacity if policy barriers are addressed [4] - The integration of the yacht industry with shipping and cargo sectors is expected to support the deep fusion of high-end manufacturing and modern services, contributing to China's economic high-quality development [4]