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民士达(920394):全球高端芳纶纸供应商,下游多领域高增可期
GF SECURITIES· 2026-01-03 10:59
Investment Rating - The report assigns a rating of "Buy" to the company [4]. Core Insights - The company is the second-largest global supplier of high-end aramid paper, with significant growth potential in various downstream sectors [9]. - The core investment logic includes the company's strong market position, strategic supplier role in commercial aerospace, benefits from overseas power grid upgrades, and the increasing demand in the aviation sector due to new aircraft and maintenance cycles [9]. - The company is expected to achieve substantial earnings growth, with projected EPS of 0.84, 1.21, and 1.93 CNY per share for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, leading to a target price of 54.34 CNY per share based on a 45x PE valuation for 2026 [9]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company specializes in aramid paper, a key strategic material for manufacturing, with applications in various critical sectors such as electrical power, aerospace, rail transportation, new energy, and electronic communications [16][17]. Competitive Landscape - The company ranks second in global market share for aramid paper, following DuPont, which has exited the market, potentially allowing the company to capture more market share [38][39]. Power Equipment - Aramid paper is widely used in transformers and other electrical equipment due to its superior thermal insulation properties, which enhance the reliability and safety of electrical devices [41]. Aviation Sector - The demand for aramid paper in the aviation industry is driven by new aircraft and maintenance needs, with the global aviation market expected to recover significantly [56][57]. Commercial Aerospace - The company is positioned as a key supplier of materials for commercial aerospace, benefiting from the increasing requirements for high-performance materials in extreme environments [9]. Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The company is projected to see revenue growth from 340 million CNY in 2023 to 960 million CNY by 2027, with a CAGR of 49.2% [3]. The EBITDA is expected to grow from 105 million CNY in 2023 to 373 million CNY in 2027 [3].