Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the utility sector [8] Core Insights - In October, the national power generation increased by 7.9% year-on-year, driven by abnormal high temperatures in southern regions, marking the highest monthly growth rate of the year [2][18] - Hydropower continues to perform strongly with a 28.2% year-on-year increase in October, while thermal power shows significant recovery with a 7.3% increase [2][24] - The report highlights the improvement in the operational environment for thermal power, with a narrowing decline of 0.4% for the year-to-date [11][45] Summary by Sections Power Generation Data - In October, total power generation reached 800.2 billion kWh, with thermal power contributing 513.8 billion kWh, hydropower 135.1 billion kWh, nuclear power 38.7 billion kWh, wind power 73.3 billion kWh, and solar power 39.4 billion kWh [17][24] - For the first ten months of 2025, total power generation was 8062.5 billion kWh, reflecting a 2.3% year-on-year growth [17][18] Thermal Power Insights - Thermal power generation in October saw a significant turnaround with a 7.3% increase, alleviating previous pressures, and the year-to-date decline has narrowed to 0.4% [2][45] - The average coal price at Qinhuangdao port was 746.89 RMB/ton in October, down 105.22 RMB/ton year-on-year, contributing to the improved operational environment for thermal power [11][45] Hydropower Performance - Hydropower generation in October was 135.1 billion kWh, up 28.2% year-on-year, supported by improved rainfall and a low base from the previous year [11][26] - The average rainfall in October was 51.5 mm, significantly above the historical average, enhancing hydropower generation capacity [26] Renewable Energy Trends - Wind power generation decreased by 11.9% year-on-year in October, while solar power generation increased by 5.9%, although the growth rate has slowed [11][32] - The report notes that the cumulative installed capacity for wind and solar power has seen a decline in new installations compared to previous years [32][40] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on quality thermal power operators such as Huaneng International, Datang Power, and Guodian Power, as well as hydropower companies like Yangtze Power and State Power Investment Corporation [11][50] - For renewable energy, it suggests companies like Longyuan Power and China Nuclear Power, highlighting their potential for growth in the current market environment [50][52]

Core Viewpoint - The report from Huatai Securities estimates a 3.2% year-on-year increase in national electricity generation in July 2025, reaching 924.9 billion kWh, with specific projections for different energy sources [1] Group 1: Electricity Generation Projections - The estimated electricity generation for July 2025 is 924.9 billion kWh, adjusted for the 2024 base year [1] - The projected year-on-year growth rates for various energy sources are as follows: thermal power +1.1% to 581.1 billion kWh, hydropower -1.8% to 163.4 billion kWh, and wind, solar, and nuclear power +27.3% to 180.4 billion kWh [1] Group 2: Seasonal Demand and Supply Dynamics - The report highlights a strong correlation between electricity production and demand during the peak summer season, with thermal and hydropower serving as the main support sources [1] - Hydropower output is expected to improve significantly compared to June, leading to a reduction in the year-on-year decline [1] - Despite potential competition from recovering hydropower output, thermal power generation is anticipated to maintain positive growth momentum due to high summer temperatures and sustained peak load demand [1]