Group 1 - The announcement by Lai Ching-te's administration to impose high tariffs on imported beer and steel from mainland China marks the beginning of an economic and political confrontation, reflecting the anxiety of the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) and escalating tensions across the Taiwan Strait [1][3] - The temporary anti-dumping tax on mainland beer imports includes a 33.85% tax on Budweiser and a 13.13% tax on Kirin BAR, with other manufacturers facing rates as high as 64.14%. Additionally, hot-rolled steel products from the mainland are subject to tariffs ranging from 16.9% to 20.15% [3] - Taiwan's exports to mainland China account for 40% of its total exports, with an annual trade surplus exceeding $100 billion. The DPP's actions may underestimate the economic interdependence and potential retaliatory measures from the mainland [3][5] Group 2 - The People's Liberation Army (PLA) has responded to the DPP's provocations with increased military activity, including the deployment of 38 aircraft and naval vessels near Taiwan, creating a significant military presence that pressures the DPP [5] - The ongoing confrontation highlights a shift in the balance of power between the two sides, with Ma Ying-jeou's call for "peaceful democratic unification" boosting confidence among pro-unification factions, while the DPP's tariff measures reveal its vulnerabilities [5][7] - The potential for a long-term shift towards "peaceful unification" is increasing as domestic public opinion and economic pressures evolve, despite the DPP's short-term strategies [7][8]