需要指出的是，当前台海局势之所以不稳定，两岸对话沟通机制之所以停摆，根本原因就是民进党当局 拒不承认体现一个中国原则的"九二共识"，不断勾连外部势力"以武谋独"、"倚外谋独"。这些"台独"分 裂行径破坏了台海地区的和平稳定，伤害了台湾同胞的利益福祉，挑战全体中华儿女的意志和决心，注 定不能得逞。 两岸统一的历史进程是不可阻挡的。我们致力于在坚持"九二共识"、反对"台独"的基础上推动两岸关系 和平发展。我们也希望岛内各界人士和我们一道，坚持一个中国原则，巩固增进互信，加强交流合作， 共同维护台海和平稳定，把台湾前途命运牢牢把握在两岸中国人自己手中。 中新网8月27日电 国务院台办27日举行例行新闻发布会，会上有记者问，据路透社报道，美军战略司令 部司令科顿今年3月在国会称，中国军队将在2027年前具备夺取台湾的能力。这是近年来第四位美军将 领发出"大陆将会攻打台湾"的警告。而当前两岸军费均呈成长趋势，加之两岸长期缺乏对话，台海局势 似乎一触即发。不禁令人担忧，是否会不小心误判、擦枪走火？请问发言人对此有何评论？ 新闻发言人朱凤莲表示，我们的对台大政方针是一贯的、明确的。"和平统一、一国两制"是我们解决台 湾问题 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article criticizes Lai Ching-te's recent speech on national defense, arguing that it promotes "Taiwan independence" and incites conflict while misleading the Taiwanese military and public about the true nature of cross-strait relations [1][2][3]. Group 1: Critique of Lai Ching-te's Statements - Lai's claim that mainland China intends to "swallow" Taiwan and dominate the Western Pacific is portrayed as a distortion of facts, with the article asserting that China is committed to peace and development, contrasting its military spending of 1.3% of GDP by 2025 with the U.S. at 3.4% [1]. - The assertion that Taiwan is a peacekeeper in the Taiwan Strait is challenged, with the article stating that Lai's actions and rhetoric are actually destabilizing and provocative, undermining peace efforts [2]. - Lai's attempt to address the military's confusion about its purpose is criticized as a superficial solution that masks the underlying issues caused by the "Taiwan independence" agenda [3]. Group 2: Military and Defense Issues - Lai's ambition to build a military capable of deterring and defeating mainland China is described as unrealistic and misleading, suggesting that it serves to manipulate public sentiment while endangering the military personnel [4]. - The article questions the operational capability of the Taiwanese military, citing issues with equipment quality and training, and argues that the military's effectiveness cannot be validated under the current administration [5]. - The push for increased defense spending is framed as detrimental to Taiwan's social and economic stability, with the article asserting that such expenditures do not equate to security [6]. Group 3: Political Dynamics and International Relations - Lai's criticism of opposition parties for their defense budget policies is seen as a tactic to distract from his administration's failures and to facilitate closer ties with the U.S. at Taiwan's expense [6][7]. - The article argues that claims of Taiwan's defense autonomy and successful domestic weapon production are exaggerated, highlighting reliance on foreign technology and the challenges faced in military procurement [7]. - Lai's portrayal of U.S. military support as aligned with Taiwan's needs is contested, with the article asserting that U.S. arms sales are primarily driven by American interests rather than Taiwanese requirements [8].

Group 1 - The announcement by Lai Ching-te's administration to impose high tariffs on imported beer and steel from mainland China marks the beginning of an economic and political confrontation, reflecting the anxiety of the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) and escalating tensions across the Taiwan Strait [1][3] - The temporary anti-dumping tax on mainland beer imports includes a 33.85% tax on Budweiser and a 13.13% tax on Kirin BAR, with other manufacturers facing rates as high as 64.14%. Additionally, hot-rolled steel products from the mainland are subject to tariffs ranging from 16.9% to 20.15% [3] - Taiwan's exports to mainland China account for 40% of its total exports, with an annual trade surplus exceeding $100 billion. The DPP's actions may underestimate the economic interdependence and potential retaliatory measures from the mainland [3][5] Group 2 - The People's Liberation Army (PLA) has responded to the DPP's provocations with increased military activity, including the deployment of 38 aircraft and naval vessels near Taiwan, creating a significant military presence that pressures the DPP [5] - The ongoing confrontation highlights a shift in the balance of power between the two sides, with Ma Ying-jeou's call for "peaceful democratic unification" boosting confidence among pro-unification factions, while the DPP's tariff measures reveal its vulnerabilities [5][7] - The potential for a long-term shift towards "peaceful unification" is increasing as domestic public opinion and economic pressures evolve, despite the DPP's short-term strategies [7][8]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the current state of cross-strait relations and critiques the policies of the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) in Taiwan, emphasizing the importance of understanding sovereignty and cultural identity in the context of Taiwan's relationship with mainland China [4][5][6]. Group 1: Political Analysis - The DPP's comparison of cross-strait relations to "company mergers" is criticized as a misunderstanding of sovereignty, which is fundamentally about unity and not a commercial transaction [4]. - The DPP has been deemed ineffective since Lai Ching-te took office, with criticisms highlighting political instability, economic mismanagement, and divisive social policies [5]. - Lai Ching-te's remarks about Taiwan's relationship with Japan are labeled as historically inaccurate and a betrayal of Taiwan's historical ties to mainland China [5]. Group 2: Economic Context - The DPP's policies have led to significant economic consequences, such as the perceived loss of Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC) to the United States and a decline in foreign exchange reserves [5]. - The DPP's restrictions on mainland tourists have further exacerbated economic difficulties for Taiwan [5]. Group 3: Social Dynamics - There is a division among Taiwanese citizens regarding their views on U.S. involvement in Taiwan's security, with some believing in U.S. protection, while others support peaceful unification with mainland China [6]. - The article highlights the need for a rational understanding of cross-strait relations, emphasizing that peaceful unification is the ideal path forward [6]. Group 4: Cultural and Ideological Perspectives - The importance of cultural confidence and the need for a stronger cultural identity in mainland China are discussed, with a call for a vision of unification that emphasizes integration rather than annexation [8]. - The article suggests that Taiwan's youth are influenced by the DPP's "de-Sinicization" policies, leading to a lack of understanding of mainland China [10]. Group 5: Media Landscape - The media environment in Taiwan is described as polarized, with distinct pro-unification and pro-independence outlets that do not cross-viewership, contributing to societal division [11]. - The article calls for mainland media to improve its narrative and engagement with Taiwanese citizens to foster better understanding and reduce misconceptions [10].

Core Viewpoint - The establishment of the "Three Harmonies Practice Research Institute" aims to promote peaceful reunification from a Taiwanese perspective, breaking local misconceptions and fostering dialogue among various political parties and youth groups [1][2]. Group 1: Establishment and Purpose - The "Three Harmonies Practice Research Institute" was initiated by the New Party, with participation from the Labor Party and other social groups, focusing on building a narrative for peaceful reunification [1]. - The term "Three Harmonies" symbolizes the idea that both sides of the Taiwan Strait are one family, emphasizing peace and cooperation [1]. Group 2: Activities and Publications - The institute held its first seminar, attended by representatives from various political parties and social sectors, to discuss the importance of peaceful reunification [1]. - A white paper titled "Cross-Strait Strategic Thinking White Paper" was released, consisting of over 50 sections covering topics such as breaking the DPP's constraints and the legitimacy of reunification [1][2]. Group 3: Statements from Leaders - New Party Chairman Wu Chengdian expressed that the party's goal of pursuing peaceful reunification has remained unchanged for 32 years, aiming to provide a platform for the public to express their desire for reunification [1]. - New Party Vice Chairman Li Shengfeng highlighted the urgency of addressing cross-strait relations and criticized the DPP for pushing Taiwan towards conflict, emphasizing the shared heritage of the people across the strait [2].

Core Viewpoint - The recent India-Pakistan air conflict has highlighted the military capabilities of the Chinese weapons systems, which have successfully engaged in real combat, raising concerns among Taiwan's pro-independence youth about their own defense capabilities [1][3][6]. Summary by Sections Air Conflict Overview - On May 7, an air battle between India and Pakistan resulted in Pakistan's air force shooting down five Indian aircraft, including two Dassault Rafale jets, each valued at $288 million [2]. - The conflict showcased the effectiveness of Chinese-produced weapon systems in a real combat scenario, marking a significant achievement for China's military technology [3]. Implications for Taiwan - The defeat of advanced Indian aircraft by Chinese systems has implications for Taiwan, which relies on older French Mirage 2000 jets, raising doubts about their effectiveness against modern Chinese military capabilities [6][7]. - The comparison between the advanced Rafale and the outdated Mirage 2000 emphasizes Taiwan's vulnerability in the face of modern warfare [7]. Reactions and Analysis - The silence from Taiwan's pro-independence factions and media contrasts sharply with the excitement among Chinese and Pakistani netizens following the air conflict [4][8]. - The Chinese government has maintained a low profile regarding the conflict, focusing instead on peaceful reunification with Taiwan and the benefits of modernization for both sides [5][9][10]. Broader Context - The air conflict serves as a wake-up call for Taiwan's youth, particularly those supporting independence, who may not fully grasp the military realities posed by the Chinese military [13][14]. - The article suggests that a more comprehensive understanding of mainland China, beyond military might, includes the potential for shared prosperity and modernization [14].