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新强联:主轴轴承放量兑现,齿轮箱轴承布局打开成长新空间-20250517
ZHONGTAI SECURITIES· 2025-05-17 10:25
Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for the stock over the next 6 to 12 months [4][23]. Core Insights - The company is expected to benefit from the increasing demand for wind power equipment, particularly in the main shaft bearing segment, which is projected to see significant growth due to the rising installation of wind power [10][15]. - The company has a well-established position in the wind power bearing market, with a focus on expanding its product offerings and improving production efficiency [7][10]. - The report forecasts substantial revenue growth, with expected revenues of 43.4 billion, 52.0 billion, and 59.1 billion for the years 2025 to 2027, representing year-on-year growth rates of 47%, 20%, and 14% respectively [19][20]. Summary by Sections 1. Main Shaft Bearing Volume Growth and Gearbox Bearing Layout - The company is positioned as an expert in the rotary support field, focusing on wind power bearings, including main shaft bearings and gearbox bearings [7]. - The report highlights the expected increase in demand for main shaft bearings due to the upcoming peak in wind power installations in 2025, with a projected increase in domestic wind power installations reaching 125 GW, a year-on-year increase of over 50% [10][15]. - The company has made significant investments in high-end processing equipment to enhance production efficiency and product quality [10][14]. 2. Profit Forecast and Investment Recommendations - The report anticipates a dramatic increase in net profit, projecting figures of 4.6 billion, 5.9 billion, and 7.1 billion for the years 2025 to 2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 601%, 30%, and 20% respectively [19][23]. - The expected improvement in profit margins is attributed to the higher value and profitability of TRB main shaft bearings, alongside the company's efforts to optimize its product structure and extend its supply chain [15][19]. - The report emphasizes the potential for the gearbox bearing segment to become a second growth driver for the company, with expected production ramp-up in 2025 and 2026 [15][19].