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芯片基板,巨变前夜
半导体行业观察· 2025-07-07 00:54
Core Insights - The IC substrate ecosystem is showing signs of recovery after a challenging 2023, with the advanced substrate market projected to reach $31 billion by 2030, driven by AI and high-performance computing (HPC) [2][20] - The organic AICS market is expected to rebound slightly in 2024, reaching $14.2 billion, with a 1% year-on-year growth [4] - The demand for larger, more complex substrates with high average selling prices (ASP) is increasing, reflecting the needs of generative AI and advanced packaging [7][17] Group 1: Organic Advanced Integrated Circuit Substrates - After early market fluctuations, the organic substrate sector is entering a new growth phase in 2024, with a market size expected to exceed $15 billion [8] - The global supply base for organic IC substrates remains concentrated in East Asia, where leading manufacturers are expanding capacity to meet growing demand [13] - Policy incentives and industry partnerships are supporting domestic capacity building in regions like China, the US, and Europe [13][23] Group 2: Glass Core Substrates (GCS) - GCS is transitioning from laboratory development to early commercialization, with significant interest from major industry players [9] - Commercial products are expected to emerge around 2025, targeting high-density computing applications [9][20] - The GCS market is still in its infancy but is seen as a long-term growth driver, with strategic investments in the US, South Korea, and China laying the groundwork for future commercialization [20] Group 3: SLP Technology - SLP technology is expanding its application range from high-end smartphones to broader consumer electronics and automotive sectors [10] - By 2025, SLP is expected to be widely adopted in flagship mobile devices, continuing its growth momentum in related electronic markets [21] - The SLP market is projected to grow steadily to over $5 billion by 2030, with a compound annual growth rate of 4.5% [21] Group 4: Supply Chain Dynamics - The global substrate technology supply chain is entering a new phase characterized by regional diversification, industry collaboration, and strategic investments [12][24] - Emerging materials and technologies are reshaping the supply chain landscape, with a focus on creating end-to-end manufacturing solutions [14] - The integration of embedded chip technology is transitioning from niche applications to broader industrial uses, with new partnerships forming to address integration and yield challenges [14][24]