瑞銀牛證(67402)
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股價急彈但未破均線!小米呢波反彈能到50元嗎?
Ge Long Hui· 2025-10-20 19:55
Core Viewpoint - Xiaomi's stock price has experienced a significant decline, closing at 45.96 HKD, down 3.65% in a single day, with a trading volume of 12.297 billion HKD, indicating active market pressure and speculation for a rebound [1] Technical Analysis - The RSI indicator for Xiaomi is at 28, indicating an oversold condition, while stochastic oscillators and bullish-bearish strength indicators have generated buy signals [1] - Despite some indicators suggesting a potential bottoming out, MACD and Bollinger Bands still maintain sell signals, reflecting a tug-of-war between bulls and bears [1] - The stock price has fallen below short- to medium-term moving averages, but there is still a 59% probability of a rebound, with resistance levels at 51.3 HKD and 56.5 HKD, and support at 43.9 HKD, with a critical level at 37.8 HKD if it breaks below [1] Product Performance - Recent recommendations for warrants and structured products have yielded significant returns, with the Morgan Stanley bear certificate (64525) rising 43% and UBS bear certificate (64218) increasing by 39% over two days, while the underlying stock fell by 7.11% [1] - In the warrants category, UBS put warrant (14200) rose by 30% and Bank of China put warrant (14387) increased by 25%, showcasing effective leverage despite the stock's decline [1] Investment Products - For call options, Citibank call warrant (16253) has a leverage of 3.2 times with an exercise price of 52.93 HKD, while Bank of China call warrant (16221) has a leverage of 3.1 times, both offering good value [3] - For put options, UBS put warrant (14200) and Bank of China put warrant (14387) have exercise prices of 46.45 HKD, with leverage of 3 times and 2.9 times respectively, suitable for conservative investors [3] - In the bull certificates category, UBS bull certificate (67402) has an exercise price of 42 HKD with a leverage of 9.4 times, while HSBC bull certificate (66931) also has an exercise price of 42 HKD with high leverage [3] - For bear certificates, the top picks are Societe Generale bear certificate (65365) and UBS bear certificate (67343), both with a redemption price of 54 HKD, offering leverage of 6.7 times and 6.5 times respectively [3]