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匯豐技術信號強度有限,兩隻衍生品暗藏機會
Ge Long Hui· 2025-12-11 13:55
Core Viewpoint - HSBC Holdings (00005) has shown a positive performance with a closing price of 111.7 HKD, reflecting a daily increase of 2.01% and a trading volume exceeding 1.724 billion HKD, driven by a recovery in the financial sector and optimistic market expectations regarding interest rates [1][3]. Technical Analysis - The technical support levels for HSBC are clear, with the first support at 107.8 HKD and the second at 103.6 HKD, indicating a certain level of buying interest below these prices. Resistance levels are at 115.7 HKD and 119.8 HKD, requiring further trading volume for effective breakthroughs [2]. - The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for HSBC is currently at 51, indicating a neutral position. Although technical indicators suggest a "sell" signal, the strength of this signal is limited. Conversely, several oscillators indicate a buying signal, suggesting potential upward movement [2]. Market Overview - On December 10, the Hong Kong stock market exhibited a range-bound pattern with significant sector performance differentiation. Real estate and property management stocks were the highlights, with Vanke Enterprises (02202) surging by 13.17% due to favorable funding news. Other notable gains included China Jinmao (00817) and Sunac China (01918), which rose by 8.55% and 8.87%, respectively [3]. - In the technology sector, Meituan (03690) increased by 2.72% due to growth expectations in food delivery orders, while Tencent (00700) and Alibaba (09988) saw slight increases. Among financial stocks, Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing (00388) and Ping An Insurance (02318) showed steady gains, while China Merchants Bank (03968) fell over 3% due to asset quality concerns [3]. Derivative Products Performance - Since December 8, HSBC's stock has seen a cumulative increase of 2.38%, with related warrants and bull certificates demonstrating significant leverage effects. The most notable products include: 1. UBS Bull Certificate (63092) with a two-day increase of 33%, showcasing the leverage effect as it closely follows the stock's upward trend [6]. 2. UBS Call Warrant (18901) also recorded a 33% increase over two days, benefiting from the stock's steady rise [6]. - Another two products, UBS Bull Certificate (58939) and Bank of China Call Warrant (29663), achieved increases of 22% and 12%, respectively, indicating that the stable rise of the underlying stock is the main driver for the price increase of derivatives [8]. Selected Derivative Recommendations - Two selected warrants are highlighted for their cost-effectiveness and high leverage, suitable for different risk appetites: 1. Guotai Junan Call Warrant (28491) is recommended for its low premium and implied volatility, with a strike price of 130.98 HKD, allowing for significant upside potential while minimizing time value loss [9]. 2. UBS Bull Certificate (58939) is noted for its low premium and high leverage of 12.4 times, providing a safety margin with a redemption price set at 100 HKD, making it suitable for capturing short-term market movements [9].
滙豐突破博弈:114.6元關口的輪證擇機技巧
Ge Long Hui· 2025-11-13 05:29
今日(12日)恆指靠住金融、地產板塊托底,低開0.2%後快速回穩,當中滙豐控股(00005)表現最搶鏡。 記得11月6日我哋【港股播報】就點評過滙豐,當日收報110元,接近110.4元高位,仲突破咗保利加通道頂部,當時技術信號以賣出為主,提醒大家留意回 調風險。而家睇返,股價不僅冇回調,仲升上113.6元,完全符合當時「沿通道頂部運行」嘅預判。 最新資料顯示,支撐位已經上移,近線最穩系108.2元,呢個位置系MA10同前期平臺嘅雙重支撐,跌穿先至要睇104.3元嘅強支撐;阻力就好清晰,先睇 114.6元,過咗呢關就有機會挑戰120.5元高位,畢竟高盛都睇到120,資金自然會睇住呢兩個點位做部署。 技術面來講,總信號依舊系賣出但強度僅9,RSI 69點接近超買區,不過牛熊力量同MACD都有買入信號,簡單講就系多空喺度拗手瓜,上升概率53%,雖 然唔算一面倒,但勝在有息差利好托底。 想瞭解更多港股窩輪及牛熊證深度分析,請立即關注「港股窩輪 Jenny」,掌握市場先機! | 相關資產 | 名稱 | 産品 | 植桿 | 行作 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 匯豐(00005) ...