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美股市场集体反弹,市场对美联储降息的预期升温
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2025-08-04 15:01
Market Overview - US stock market experienced a collective rebound, with the Nasdaq rising by 1.60% and the S&P 500 increasing by over 1% [1][3] - Major tech stocks such as Microsoft, Google, and Tesla saw gains exceeding 2%, while Apple and Nvidia rose nearly 2% [1][3] CommScope Transaction - CommScope's stock surged over 80% after announcing a definitive agreement to sell its Connectivity and Cable Solutions (CCS) division to Amphenol for $10.5 billion in cash [3] - The transaction is expected to provide CommScope with significant excess cash post-debt repayment, which will be distributed to shareholders as dividends within 60 to 90 days after the deal closes [3] Federal Reserve Rate Cut Expectations - Expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut have significantly increased, with an 85% probability of a cut in the September meeting according to the CME FedWatch Tool [6] - Analysts suggest that the weakening labor market may compel the Fed to act, especially if upcoming employment data fails to meet expectations [6] Investment Strategy Insights - Morgan Stanley's strategist recommends viewing any market pullbacks as buying opportunities, citing strong profit outlooks for the coming year [9] - UBS strategists also indicate that potential declines in the stock market in August could present buying opportunities, as the Fed is likely to cut rates in response to deteriorating economic data [10] Corporate Earnings and Market Sentiment - The second-quarter earnings reports have exceeded expectations, with S&P 500 companies projected to see a profit growth of 9.1%, significantly higher than the anticipated 2.8% [9] - Confidence among corporate executives regarding their ability to mitigate the impact of tariffs on profits remains strong, particularly in the tech sector [10]