Core Viewpoint - The global ship price index in January shows a mixed trend, with new ship prices declining while second-hand ship prices continue to strengthen. The shipbuilding industry in China is expected to maintain a high export scale and market share in the coming years, supported by advancements in green power technologies [1][2]. Group 1: Ship Price Trends - In January, the global new ship price index was 184.29 points, a year-on-year decrease of 2.69% and a month-on-month decrease of 0.19%. New ship prices for oil tankers and bulk carriers saw slight month-on-month increases of 0.44% and 0.63%, respectively, while container ship prices decreased by 0.38% and gas ship prices increased by 1.19% [1]. - The second-hand ship price index was 195.96 points, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 12.53% and a month-on-month increase of 2.56%. Prices for second-hand ships aged 5 and 10 years increased by 2.79% and 4.25% month-on-month, respectively [1]. Group 2: Shipbuilding Performance - In 2025, China's shipbuilding completion volume reached 53.69 million deadweight tons, a year-on-year increase of 11.4%. The new order volume was 107.82 million deadweight tons, a slight year-on-year decrease of 4.6%. The hand-held order volume reached 274.42 million deadweight tons, a year-on-year increase of 31.5% [2]. - China's shipbuilding completion volume, new order volume, and hand-held order volume accounted for 50.1%, 69.0%, and 66.8% of the global market share, respectively, maintaining a leading position [2]. Group 3: Technological Advancements and Orders - Multiple types of ships are being delivered and new orders are steadily progressing. The successful completion of the repair project for the Greek vessel "Antip" by China Shipbuilding Changxing demonstrates the company's capability in complex repair projects [3]. - The trial voyage of a 49,500-ton methanol dual-fuel chemical tanker by Guangzhou Shipyard International marks a significant advancement in the application of domestic methanol dual-fuel technology, enhancing competitiveness in the green ship sector [3]. - Wuhan Shipbuilding has signed contracts for 9 new feeder container ships, which will help consolidate its market share in the feeder container ship segment and support future order structure optimization and capacity utilization [3].

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Overweight" rating for the industry [1]. Core Insights - In January, the ship price structure showed differentiation, with new ship prices experiencing weak fluctuations while second-hand ship prices continued to strengthen [3][4]. - The global new ship price index stood at 184.29 points in January, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 2.69% and a month-on-month decrease of 0.19%. Notably, the prices for oil tankers and bulk carriers saw slight month-on-month increases of 0.44% and 0.63%, respectively, while container ship prices decreased by 0.38% and gas carrier prices increased by 1.19% [4]. - The second-hand ship price index reached 195.96 points, marking a year-on-year increase of 12.53% and a month-on-month increase of 2.56%. Prices for second-hand ships aged 5 and 10 years increased by 2.79% and 4.25% month-on-month, respectively [4]. - On the cost side, the comprehensive price index for steel in China was 91.19 points, showing a year-on-year decrease of 0.74% and a month-on-month decrease of 0.20% [4]. - Demand-wise, the global new order value in January was $17,784.70 million, representing a year-on-year increase of 38.75%. The new orders and deliveries in terms of tonnage increased by 26.68% and decreased by 4.70% year-on-year, respectively. In China, new orders and deliveries increased by 134.27% and 8.95% year-on-year, corresponding to global market shares of 66.64% and 61.11% [4]. Summary by Sections Price Trends - New ship prices are weak, with a global index of 184.29 points, down 2.69% year-on-year and 0.19% month-on-month [4]. - Second-hand ship prices are strong, with an index of 195.96 points, up 12.53% year-on-year and 2.56% month-on-month [4]. Cost Analysis - China's steel price index is at 91.19 points, down 0.74% year-on-year and 0.20% month-on-month [4]. Demand Insights - Global new orders in January reached $17,784.70 million, up 38.75% year-on-year, with significant increases in China's new orders [4].