Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided Group 2: Core Views of the Report - The upward space of methanol 01 contract is limited. The downstream MTO profit is poor, and further price increases may lead to negative demand feedback. The downstream restocking willingness is weak due to profit levels and high inventories, and the inland profit is also poor [4][39]. - Previously, it was recommended to sell out - of - the - money put options for the 01 contract and pay attention to long opportunities in the far - month contracts. Currently, it is suggested to hold the 01 put - selling option until maturity, and it is not recommended to chase the rise of the 01 contract [4][39]. Group 3: Summaries by Relevant Catalogs 1. Market Review - From November 17 to December 1, the methanol market rebounded from the bottom, mainly due to the expected changes brought by the implementation of Iranian plant shutdowns, which was in line with previous judgments [4][9][39]. 2. Basis and Spread - The basis remained stable, and the near - far month spread rebounded slightly. The near - month price, which was previously oversold, rebounded relatively more due to the change in expectations. On November 17, the basis in East China was - 19 yuan/ton, and on December 1, it was - 16 yuan/ton. The 01 - 05 spread was - 116 yuan/ton on November 17, dropped to - 137 yuan/ton on November 19, and rebounded to - 96 yuan/ton on December 1 [10]. 3. Supply - side Analysis 3.1 Cost and Operation - The profit of upstream coal - to - methanol slightly rebounded. The inland methanol price was relatively stronger than that in coastal areas, and the recent slight decline in coal prices led to the profit rebound. However, it is still the peak coal - using season, and the cost is unlikely to drop significantly, which supports the methanol price. Last week, the coal - to - methanol operation rate remained stable at a high level, while the gas - to - methanol operation rate declined. As of December 1, the Qinhuangdao steam - coal closing price was 821 yuan/ton, a decrease of 10 yuan/ton compared to November 17, and the Datong steam - coal wagon - board price was 710 yuan/ton, a decrease of 15 yuan/ton. As of November 27, the weekly operation rate of coal - to - methanol enterprises was 82.42%, a month - on - month increase of 0.11 percentage points and a year - on - year increase of 2.17 percentage points; the weekly operation rate of gas - to - methanol enterprises was 45.71%, a month - on - month decrease of 4.87 percentage points and a year - on - year decrease of 2.19 percentage points [12]. 3.2 Inventory - The turning point of port inventory accumulation has appeared. After the implementation of Iranian plant shutdowns, the import pressure of methanol in the first quarter of next year will be greatly relieved. As of the week of November 27, the total port inventory was 116.75 million tons, a month - on - month decrease of 7.64 million tons and a year - on - year increase of 16.57 million tons. The inland inventory was lower than the same period in previous years. However, the impact of Iranian plant shutdowns on imports is mainly in January - February next year, and the short - term supply - demand contradiction and high port inventory are difficult to solve in the 01 contract [18]. 4. Demand - side Analysis 4.1 MTO Demand - The profit of downstream MTO has significantly deteriorated, especially in the northwest region, mainly due to the weak price of downstream polyolefins. As of November 27, the weekly operation rate of downstream methanol - to - olefins was 86.47%, a month - on - month decrease of 0.55 percentage points and a year - on - year increase of 1.76 percentage points; the weekly operation rate of enterprises purchasing methanol externally for olefin production was 82.31%, a month - on - month decrease of 0.65 percentage points and a year - on - year decrease of 0.75 percentage points. The MTO demand restricts the upward movement of methanol prices [22]. 4.2 Traditional Demand - The weighted operation rate of traditional downstream industries slightly rebounded, mainly due to the increase in the acetic acid operation rate. However, winter is still the off - season for traditional demand, and the demand for methanol is limited [29]. 5. Summary and Outlook - The market review is the same as the previous part. The view is that the 01 contract put - selling option should be held until maturity, and it is not recommended to chase the rise of the 01 contract. The strategy is to hold the 01 put - selling option until maturity [39][40].