投资咨询业务资格：证监许可【2011】1778 号 运筹帷幄 决胜千里 甲醇 供需结构改善 作为全球最大的甲醇进口国，我国 25%~30%的进口甲醇来自伊朗。伊朗甲醇凭借丰富的天然气资源 长期保持价格优势，成为沿海甲醇制烯烃（MTO）装置的主要原料来源。上述制裁不仅切断了伊朗甲醇的 部分物流通道，更因"次级制裁"风险导致多家国际航运保险公司暂停承保涉及伊朗航线的船舶，进一步加 剧了船队调度紧张的局面。据了解，目前已有在途货船因租船方临时退租而滞留中东锚地，无法按期抵港。 短期来看，受限于替代运力不足与绕航带来的航程延长（增加 15~20 天），华东港口甲醇卸货节奏将放缓， 叠加市场对后续供应的担忧情绪升温，期货价格快速上行。尽管目前国内港口库存处于历史高位，但结构 性矛盾正在显现——若伊朗甲醇出口持续受限，我国沿海 MTO 工厂可能面临原料短缺问题，进而推高区 域现货升水。从中长期来看，市场或将加速构建新型运输网络，包括启用更多非美关联船东、优化第三国 中转模式等。同时，来自阿曼、文莱及南美地区的非伊朗货源进口占比有望提升，以填补供应缺口。然而， 与伊朗货源相比，非伊朗货源价格普遍高出 300~400 元/吨 ...

Core Viewpoint - The company, Huisheng Engineering, reported a strong financial turnaround in 2024, with significant revenue growth and profitability recovery, indicating a positive shift in its business trajectory [1][4]. Financial Performance - The total revenue for 2024 reached approximately 5.65 billion yuan, marking a year-on-year increase of 47.0%, ending a previous downward trend [1]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 140 million yuan, a significant recovery from losses in the previous year [1]. - Operating cash flow improved dramatically, with a net cash flow from operating activities of about 3.09 billion yuan, up from 650 million yuan in the same period last year [2]. Business Segments - The core petrochemical segment generated approximately 4.66 billion yuan in revenue, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 54.7% [2]. - The coal chemical segment reported revenue of about 820 million yuan, an increase of 33.8% [2]. - The new energy segment achieved a breakthrough with revenue of approximately 26.8 million yuan [2]. Order Growth and Talent Acquisition - New signed orders surged to approximately 10.87 billion yuan, representing a staggering year-on-year increase of 2,563.6% [3]. - The total value of uncompleted contracts reached about 25.72 billion yuan, ensuring future revenue growth [3]. - The company expanded its workforce significantly, hiring over 30 key professionals and more than 100 senior talents, increasing total employees to 1,867, up by 259 from the previous year [3]. Green Transformation and International Strategy - Huisheng Engineering has made substantial progress in green transformation, successfully implementing technologies for green hydrogen, green ammonia, and biomass [4]. - The company has expanded its international project footprint, with overseas revenue exceeding 70% for the first time, becoming a major growth driver [4]. - Strategic collaborations with industry giants like Saudi Aramco and ADNOC have been deepened, with several high-profile projects actively progressing [4]. Valuation Perspective - The current price-to-earnings ratio is below 8 times, and the price-to-book ratio is approximately 0.4 times, indicating that the company is significantly undervalued [4].