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特步国际(01368):主品牌表现稳健,索康尼延续强劲趋势:特步国际(01368):
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for its stock performance in the near term [6][19]. Core Insights - The main brand shows steady performance, while the subsidiary brand, Saucony, continues its strong growth trajectory. The overall revenue for the main brand remained stable, with a low single-digit growth achieved for the year. Saucony's revenue growth exceeded 30% year-on-year, reflecting robust market demand [6][10]. - The company has successfully optimized its product offerings and channels, focusing on direct-to-consumer (DTC) strategies and enhancing customer experience through new store formats. The DTC transformation is progressing steadily, with plans to recover a significant number of stores to better respond to market changes [6][10]. - The financial forecasts indicate a projected increase in net profit from 1.37 billion RMB in FY2025 to 1.6 billion RMB in FY2027, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios decreasing from 9 to 8 over the same period [6][15]. Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Revenue projections for FY2023 to FY2027 are as follows: 143 billion RMB, 136 billion RMB, 142.8 billion RMB, 151 billion RMB, and 161 billion RMB, respectively. The year-on-year growth rates are expected to fluctuate, with a notable decline in FY2024 [6][15]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to grow from 1.03 billion RMB in FY2023 to 1.6 billion RMB in FY2027, with a consistent increase in earnings per share from 0.41 RMB to 0.57 RMB over the same period [6][15]. - The gross margin is expected to stabilize around 45% from FY2025 onwards, indicating effective cost management and pricing strategies [6][15].