2025 年 5 月 21 日 | 何利超 | | | --- | --- | | H70529@capital.com.tw | | | 目标价(港币) | HK$ 0.8 | 公司基本资讯 | 产业别 | | | 传媒 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | H 股价(2025/05/20) | | | 0.61 | | 恒生指数(2025/05/20) | | | 23,681.5 | | 股价 12 个月高/低 | | | 0.63/0.35 | | 总发行股数(百万) | | | 29,875.86 | | H 股数(百万) | | | 29,875.86 | | H 市值(亿元) | | | 134.44 | | | | 阿里巴巴集团控 | | | 主要股东 | | | 股有限公司 | | | | | (53.85%) | | 每股净值(元) | | | 0.55 | | 股价/账面净值 | | | 1.12 | | 一个月 | | 三个月 | 一年 | | 股价涨跌(%) | 25.77% | -3.17% | 34.07% | 近期评等 | | | | 产品组合 | | | ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a potential upside of 15% to 35% [6][11]. Core Insights - The film industry is expected to recover, with significant growth in the ticketing and IP business segments. The company reported a revenue of RMB 6.702 billion for FY25, a year-on-year increase of 33%, primarily driven by the growth in ticketing and IP derivative products [6]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders for FY25 was RMB 364 million, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 27.7%, slightly below expectations due to investment impairments [6]. - Adjusted EBITA for FY25 was RMB 809 million, representing a year-on-year increase of 61%, slightly exceeding expectations [6]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company operates in the media industry, with a current H-share price of HK$ 0.61 as of May 20, 2025, and a market capitalization of RMB 134.44 billion [2]. Revenue Breakdown - The revenue composition includes: - Film technology and investment production and distribution: 40.5% - Ticketing platform (Damai): 30.7% - IP derivative business: 21.4% - Series production: 7.5% [3]. Performance Analysis - The film technology and investment production segment saw a revenue decline of 10% year-on-year, totaling RMB 2.712 billion, with a significant drop in segment performance due to underperforming projects [8]. - The ticketing platform (Damai) experienced a remarkable revenue increase of 236% year-on-year, reaching RMB 2.057 billion, driven by the booming live performance market [8]. - The IP derivative business reported a revenue of RMB 1.433 billion, a year-on-year increase of 73%, attributed to a significant rise in retail sales of licensed IP products [8]. Profit Forecast - The company forecasts net profits for FY2026, FY2027, and FY2028 to be RMB 823 million, RMB 1.008 billion, and RMB 1.205 billion, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 126.3%, 22.5%, and 19.6% [10]. - The projected earnings per share (EPS) for the same period are RMB 0.03, RMB 0.03, and RMB 0.04, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 20, 17, and 14 [10].