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百度集团-SW(09888.HK):AI驱动多业务破局 开启价值重估新周期
Ge Long Hui· 2025-09-29 04:22
Core Viewpoint - The company is focusing on five key AI-driven businesses and aims to unlock hidden asset value through various strategies, supported by strong cash reserves [1][2]. Financial Health - As of June 30, 2025, the company's cash and cash equivalents amount to 234.3 billion yuan, with a net cash position of 150.6 billion yuan after deducting interest-bearing liabilities [1]. - Including equity investments, the liquid net cash portion is estimated at 184.3 billion yuan [1]. AI-Driven Business Valuation - The five AI-related businesses are expected to contribute significantly to the company's valuation: 1. Robotaxi, valued at approximately 200 billion yuan, is a global leader in autonomous driving [2]. 2. AI commercial products are projected to generate at least 10 billion yuan in revenue by 2025, with a valuation of 40 billion yuan [2]. 3. AI-driven SaaS software within the ecosystem is expected to have an annual revenue of about 10 billion yuan, valued at around 40 billion yuan [2]. 4. Baidu Intelligent Cloud is anticipated to achieve high-quality revenue growth, with a valuation of 76 billion yuan [2]. 5. Kunlun Chip, Baidu's self-developed AI chip, is expected to be valued at approximately 95 billion yuan [2]. Unlocking Valuation - The company plans to unlock its valuation through financial disclosures, expanding the investor base, enhancing shareholder returns, and capital operations to activate hidden asset value [2]. Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The company maintains its revenue and profit expectations for 2025 and 2026, raising target prices for US and Hong Kong stocks by 91% to 189 USD and 183 HKD, respectively [2]. - The target valuations correspond to 27 times and 23 times the non-GAAP P/E ratios for 2025 and 2026, indicating potential upside of 38% and 35% from current levels [2].